Phillies vs Braves Prediction - MLB Picks 10/7/23

Atlanta Braves (104-58) vs Philadelphia Phillies (92-72)

Game Info: Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 6:07 pm (Truist Park)

Spencer Strider (20-5) (3.86) vs Ranger Suarez (4-6) (4.18)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -200 / Philadelphia Phillies +167 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves face off on Saturday in Game 1 of their NLDS series at SunTrust Park. The Braves were able to beat the Phillies 8 of the 15 times they played this season. 

Phillies Pitching Has Been Strong

The Phillies pitching has been strong so far in the playoffs and it’s going to need to be the pitching that is good again in this game. In the two games against the Marlins the Phillies pitching only gave up two runs total. On Wednesday, the Phillies were led by Bryson Stott and he finished with one home run and drove in four RBIs. In this game, the Phillies are going to need to get the offense going early. On the mound for the Phillies will be Ranger Suarez and his last start against the Pittsburgh Pirates he really struggled giving up nine hits and six runs. 

Phillies Betting Trends

  • The Phillies have lost each of their last six night games against the Braves following a win.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games against the Braves at Truist Park following a win.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Phillies' last four games at Truist Park.

Can the Braves Live up to Expecatations?

The Braves have all the pressure heading into this series and if they were to be knocked out of the playoffs here, that would be shocking. The Braves offense has been strong all season, and they are going to need to try and run up the score here. If the Braves bats struggle early here, it’s going to give the Phillies more confidence, and that is something the Braves don’t need to deal with. Matt Olson has hit 54 home runs and driven in 139 RBIs. On the mound for the Braves will be Spencer Strider and in his last start against the Washington Nationals he went five innings giving up six hits and three runs.

Braves Betting Trends

  • The Phillies have lost each of their last six night games against the Braves following a win.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games against the Braves at Truist Park following a win.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Phillies' last four games at Truist Park.

Shane’s Free Pick

The Phillies and Braves are both going to have no issue running up the score in this game. Ranger Suarez in his last start gave up six runs and he’s going to really struggle again in this game. Strider is going to really struggle again in this game, and the Phillies are also going to get the bats going early. Look for both teams to run up the score and the over is going to cash here with ease.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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