Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction - MLB Picks 10/4/23

Milwaukee Brewers (92-70) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (84-78)

Game Info: Wednesday, October 4, 2023 at 7:08 pm (American Family Field)

Freddy Peralta (12-10) (3.86) vs Zac Gallen (17-9) (3.47)

Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -135 / Arizona Diamondbacks +114 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Arizona Diamondbacks will play the Milwaukee Brewers in Game 2 of their NL Wild Card Series on Wednesday night at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Arizona won the first game in this series by a score of 6-3 and has a chance to close it out in this game. 

Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks were able to get a massive 6-3 win on Tuesday to take control of this series. Arizona fell behind 3-0 in the second inning, but they answered with three runs in the third and kept Milwaukee off of the scoreboard the rest of the way. Arizona recorded nine hits in the win. The Diamondbacks started Brandon Pfaadt, who only lasted 2.2 innings, but their bullpen pitched great. The Arizona pitching staff had a 4.48 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .251 opponent batting average during the regular season. The Diamondbacks offense scored 746 runs with a .250 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this year. Christian Walker went 3-4 with a double and two RBI’s in the Game 1 win. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Zac Gallen, who is 17-9 with a 3.47 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 210 innings pitched this year. 

Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers had a very good regular season and won the NL Central, but they face a must win game in this matchup. Milwaukee generated plenty of traffic on the base paths in Game 1, as they recorded 12 hits in the loss. The Brewers had a 3-0 lead and Corbin Burnes on the mound, but they couldn’t hold on and the offense let them down once again. Burnes allowed five hits, four runs, and two walks over four innings pitched in the game. The Milwaukee pitching staff had a 3.71 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .226 opponent batting average this season. The Brewers scored 728 runs with a .240 batting average and a .319 on base percentage during the regular season. Willy Adames went 3-4 with a double and a strikeout in the Game 1 loss. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Freddy Peralta, who is 12-10 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 165.2 innings pitched this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts

  • The Brewers have won each of their last 11 home games following a home loss.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Wednesday games as favorites against NL West opponents.
  • The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four playoff games as home favorites.
  • The Brewers have trailed after 7 innings in three of their last four playoff games as home favorites.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Brewers' last three home games.

Arizona Diamondbacks Team Facts

  • The Diamondbacks have won each of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in three of their last four playoff games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks' last three night games at American Family Field.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 7 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • Tyrone Taylor has hit a home run in each of the Brewers' last two games as home favorites.
  • Carlos Santana has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances in night games.
  • Freddy Peralta has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances in night games.
  • Christian Yelich has scored a run in each of his last six appearances with the Brewers as home favorites.
  • Tyrone Taylor has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances at American Family Field against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Tyrone Taylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances at American Family Field against opponents that held a winning record.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Ketel Marte has hit a home run in each of the Diamondbacks' last three games as underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Ketel Marte has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Diamondbacks' last four games against NL opponents.
  • Ketel Marte has recorded four or more total bases in each of the Diamondbacks' last four games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Corbin Carroll has scored at least one run in each of the Diamondbacks' last six road games.
  • Zac Gallen has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his six previous Wednesday appearances in night games with his team as an underdog.
  • Corbin Carroll has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks' last 10 games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Corbin Carroll ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (54) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (1218).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (647).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1247).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank T23rd in the league for strikeouts this season (1351).

Pick

Milwaukee started Game 1 very strong and had a nice lead, but the offense went cold and now they face elimination in this game. The Brewers have had a solid pitching staff all season, but their hitting has been inconsistent. I think Milwaukee really needed to win Game 1 with Burnes on the mound, as Woodruff is currently hurt. I think the Diamondbacks have the advantage with Gallen on the mound for this game and I like them to get the win and end the series. 

David’s Pick Diamondbacks ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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