Milwaukee Brewers (92-70) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (84-78)
Game Info: Tuesday, October 3, 2023 at 7:08 pm (American Family Field)
Corbin Burnes (10-8) (3.39) vs Brandon Pfaadt (3-9) (5.72)
Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -180 / Arizona Diamondbacks +150 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Arizona Diamondbacks will play the Milwaukee Brewers in Game 1 of the NL Wild Card Series on Tuesday night at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Arizona struggled to end the season, but they were able to finish in the third NL Wild Card spot, while Milwaukee ran away with the NL Central.
Diamondbacks Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks were 84-78 in the regular season and they have lost four games in a row. Arizona is coming off of a sweep against the Houston Astros, where they lost all three games and were outscored by a total of 11-2 in the three games. The Diamondbacks have not hit the ball very well recently, scoring three runs or fewer in five straight games. The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.48 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .251 opponent batting average this year. The Diamondbacks offense has scored 746 runs with a .250 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Corbin Carroll is batting .285 with 25 home runs and 76 RBI’s for the Diamondbacks. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Brandon Pfaadt, who is 3-9 with a 5.72 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 96 innings pitched this season.
Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers had a record of 92-70 during the regular season and they won four of their last five games. Milwaukee is coming off of a series win against the Cubs, where they won two out of three games. The Brewers have allowed three runs or fewer in four of their last five games and have one of the best pitching staffs in baseball. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .226 opponent batting average. The Brewers offense has scored 728 runs with a .240 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this season. Christian Yelich is batting .278 with 19 home runs and 76 RBI’s for the Brewers. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Corbin Burnes, who is 10-8 with a 3.39 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 193.2 innings pitched this year.
Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts
- The Brewers have lost each of their last three games as favorites against the Diamondbacks following a home win.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against the Diamondbacks following a win.
- The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Brewers' last four games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last nine games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 7 innings in each of their last five Tuesday night games against the Diamondbacks.
Arizona Diamondbacks Team Facts
- The Diamondbacks have won each of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against the Brewers following a loss.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks' last three games against National League opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in four of their last six playoff games as underdogs.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Christian Yelich has hit a home run in two of the Brewers' last three playoff games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Brewers' last six home games against NL West opponents.
- Mark Canha has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances at American Family Field against opponents that held a winning record.
- William Contreras has recorded two or more total bases in each of his six previous appearances against the Diamondbacks after not playing the previous day.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers' last 18 games.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Ketel Marte has hit a home run in each of the Diamondbacks' last two games as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Corbin Carroll has recorded an RBI in each of the Diamondbacks' last three games as road underdogs against the Brewers.
- Tommy Pham has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances at American Family Field.
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Corbin Carroll has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks' last nine games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (1218).
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (647).
- The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1247).
- The Arizona Diamondbacks rank T23rd in the league for strikeouts this season (1351).
Pick
The Diamondbacks will look to start the postseason strong, after ending the season with a terrible series against Houston. Milwaukee has played well all season and they are 49-32 at home, while Arizona is only 41-40 on the road. The Diamondbacks are starting Brandon Pfaadt, who has allowed 0, 5, 0, and 4 earned runs in his last four outings. The Brewers are starting Corbin Burnes, who has allowed 0 earned runs in three of his last four starts. Burnes has had a few struggles over the last two months, but he is much better than Pfaadt. Take the Brewers -1.5 in this one.
David’s Pick Brewers -1.5
AUTHOR: David Racey
Mitch's Take...
