Nationals vs Braves Prediction - MLB Picks 10/1/23

Atlanta Braves (104-57) vs Washington Nationals (70-91)

Game Info: Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 3:05 pm (Truist Park)

Bryce Elder (12-4) (3.81) vs Jackson Rutledge (1-1) (6.00)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves / Washington Nationals --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Washington Nationals will play the Atlanta Braves in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Washington won the first game in this series by a score of 10-6 on Friday, but Atlanta got the win in Game 2 by a score of 5-3 on Saturday. 

Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals are 70-91 this season and they have lost six of their last eight games. Washington came into this series after getting swept in a mini series against the Orioles. The Nationals have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last six games. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.00 ERA, a 1.47 WHIP, and a .272 opponent batting average this year. The Nationals offense has scored 690 runs with a .253 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Lane Thomas is batting .264 with 28 home runs and 86 RBI’s for the Nationals. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Jackson Rutledge, who is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 15 innings pitched this season. 

Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 104-57 this season and they have won five of their last six games. Prior to this series, Atlanta won all three games in their series with the Cubs and they won three out of four against this Washington team. The Braves have scored 5+ runs in six straight games. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 938 runs with a .276 batting average and a .344 on base percentage this season. Ronald Acuna is batting .338 with 41 home runs and 106 RBI’s for the Braves. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Bryce Elder, who is 12-4 with a 3.81 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 174.2 innings pitched this year.

Atlanta Braves Team Facts

  • The Braves have lost three of their last four games as favorites against the Nationals following a win.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against the Nationals at Truist Park following a home win.
  • The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Nationals at Truist Park.
  • The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Braves' last six home games against NL East opponents.

Washington Nationals Team Facts

  • The Nationals have won three of their last four games as road underdogs against NL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Nationals' last three day games at Truist Park.
  • The Nationals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five day games at Truist Park against National League opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in four of the Braves' last five games at Truist Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven home appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Braves' last eight games against NL East opponents at Truist Park.
  • Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves' last 15 games at Truist Park.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Braves' last six home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks 1st in the league in Steals (73) this season.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • Dominic Smith has hit a home run in two of the Nationals' last three road games against the Braves.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded two hits in four of his last five road appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded an RBI in each of the Nationals' last three games against the Braves at Truist Park.
  • Joey Meneses has scored at least one run in seven of the Nationals' last eight road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded two or more total bases in four of his last five road appearances against NL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (305).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for RBI's this season (907).
  • The Washington Nationals rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (1148).
  • The Washington Nationals rank 28th in the league for walks this season (417).

Pick

The Braves come into this game with the best record in all of baseball and they will look to end the regular season on a positive note, while Washington only has one game between them and the offseason. Atlanta has the best offensive lineup in the MLB, but their pitching staff has had some holes this year. Washington is near the bottom of the MLB in team ERA and they have allowed Atlanta to score 40 runs in their last six matchups. I think we are going to see a higher scoring game in this matchup, as Elder has struggled in his last three starts, but I am going to take a shot with the Nationals to get the win here. 

David’s Pick Nationals ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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