Yankees vs Royals Prediction - MLB Picks 9/29/23

Kansas City Royals Team Facts

• The Royals have won each of their last five games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Royals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
• The Royals have led after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last 10 night games.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Royals' last four games against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Team Facts

• The Yankees have won each of their last 11 night games against the Royals following a loss.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 Friday games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Friday night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Yankees' last five night games against AL Central opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 7 innings in each of their last four games at Kauffman Stadium against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Royals' last four Friday night games at Kauffman Stadium.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Royals' last nine Friday games as underdogs.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in six of the Royals' last seven games as home underdogs against AL opponents.
• Edward Olivares has recorded at least one hit in nine of his last 10 home appearances against AL opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Gleyber Torres has hit a home run in three of the Yankees' last four road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Yankees' last six night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a road favorite against AL Central opponents.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded two or more total bases in three of his last four appearances at Kauffman Stadium.
• Gleyber Torres has scored at least one run in each of the Yankees' last seven games against AL Central opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in nine of his last 10 appearances against the Royals after playing the previous day.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Kansas City Royals rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.301).
• The Kansas City Royals rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (160).
• The New York Yankees rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.226).
• The New York Yankees rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.232).

Pick

Both of these teams have played very well in recent weeks, but Kansas City will have the home field advantage to close this season out. The Royals had been playing very well, but had a terrible series in Detroit. New York took two out of three from Toronto and Arizona in their last two series. The Yankees are starting Carlos Rodon, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. The Royals are starting Jordan Lyles, who has allowed 11 earned runs in his last three starts (16 IP), but did throw five scoreless innings against the Astros last time out. Kansas City has played their best baseball at home this year and I am going to take them to get the victory here.