Twins vs Rockies Prediction - MLB Picks 9/29/23

Colorado Rockies (58-101) vs Minnesota Twins (85-74)

Game Info: Friday, September 29, 2023 at 8:10 pm (Coors Field)

Ty Blach (3-3) (5.42) vs Joe Ryan (11-10) (4.31)

Betting Odds: Colorado Rockies +169 / Minnesota Twins -185 --- Over/Under: 11.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Minnesota Twins will play the Colorado Rockies in Game 1 of their series on Friday night at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado. The Rockies come into the final series of the season after really struggling over the last two weeks, while Minnesota is preparing for a trip to the postseason. 

Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 85-74 this season and they have won six of their last eight games. Minnesota is coming off of a series win against Oakland, where they won two out of three games. The Twins have scored 6+ runs in five of their last eight games. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average this year. The Twins offense has scored 755 runs with a .242 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Joe Ryan, who is 11-10 with a 4.31 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 156.2 innings pitched this season.

Rockies Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 58-101 this season and they have lost nine of their last eleven games. Colorado is coming off of a series split with the Dodgers, where they won two games and lost two games. The Rockies have scored three runs or fewer in seven of their last nine games. The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.64 ERA, a 1.54 WHIP, and a .287 opponent batting average. The Rockies offense has scored 706 runs with a .249 batting average and a .310 on base percentage this season. Ezequiel Tovar is batting .257 with 15 home runs and 73 RBI’s for the Rockies. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Ty Blach, who is 3-3 with a 5.42 ERA and a 1.63 WHIP over 73 innings pitched this year. 

Colorado Rockies Team Facts

  • The Rockies have lost seven of their last eight night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rockies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Rockies have led after 7 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • The Rockies have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins Team Facts

  • The Twins have won nine of their last 10 night games following a loss.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Twins' last four games against National League opponents.
  • The Twins have led after 7 innings in each of their last six Friday night games.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Charlie Blackmon has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Charlie Blackmon has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Charlie Blackmon has recorded two or more hits in five of his last six home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ryan McMahon has scored at least one run in each of the Rockies' last four home games against AL Central opponents.
  • Ryan McMahon has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rockies' last eight home games against AL opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Joe Ryan has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his eight previous Friday appearances in night games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Colorado Rockies rank 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.287).
  • The Colorado Rockies rank 30th in the league for hits allowed this season (1564).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank T3rd in the league for runs allowed this season (644).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank T4th in the league for home runs this season (226).

Pick

The Twins come into this series making their final preparations for the postseason, while Colorado is looking to end the year with some momentum. The Twins are only 38-40 on the road this year and Colorado does play their best baseball at home. Minnesota is starting Joe Ryan, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five of his last six starts. Colorado is starting Ty Blach, who has allowed 11 earned runs in his last two starts (9 IP). I am going to take a chance on the Rockies at home in this one, as Minnesota has their eyes set on the playoffs. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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