Padres vs White Sox Prediction - MLB Picks 9/29/23

Chicago White Sox (61-98) vs San Diego Padres (79-80)

Game Info: Friday, September 29, 2023 at 7:40 pm (Guaranteed Rate Field)

Dylan Cease (7-8) (4.66) vs Nick Martinez (4-3) (3.59)

Betting Odds: Chicago White Sox +120 / San Diego Padres -142 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Diego Padres will play the Chicago White Sox in Game 1 of their series on Friday night at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. The White Sox lost another series prior to this one, while San Diego is playing some of their best baseball to finish the season. 

Padres Preview

The San Diego Padres are 79-80 this season and they have won three of their last four games. San Diego is coming off of a series win against the Giants, where they won two out of three games. The Padres have won 11 of their last 13 games, but they will most likely miss the playoffs by a few games. The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average this year. The Padres offense has scored 741 runs with a .244 batting average and a .329 on base percentage. Juan Soto is batting .275 with 35 home runs and 108 RBI’s for the Padres. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Nick Martinez, who is 5-4 with a 3.59 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 105.1 innings pitched this season.

White Sox Preview

The Chicago White Sox are 61-98 this season and they have lost five of their last eight games. Chicago is coming off of a series loss against Arizona, where they lost two out of three games. The White Sox have only won one series since early August. The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.91 ERA, a 1.42 WHIP, and a .250 opponent batting average. The White Sox offense has scored 637 runs with a .239 batting average and a .292 on base percentage this season. Andrew Vaughn is batting .260 with 21 home runs and 80 RBI’s for the White Sox. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Dylan Cease, who is 7-8 with a 4.66 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 172 innings pitched this year. 

Chicago White Sox Team Facts

  • The White Sox have lost each of their last eight night games against National League opponents following a win.
  • The White Sox have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games at Guaranteed Rate Field against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last three games between the Padres and White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field.
  • The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games at Guaranteed Rate Field against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The White Sox have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five Friday games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.

San Diego Padres Team Facts

  • The Padres have lost three of their last four games as road favorites following an extra innings win.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a road win.
  • The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight Friday night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games as favorites.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Padres' last three games at Guaranteed Rate Field.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Yoan Moncada has hit a home run in five of his last 13 appearances with the White Sox as underdogs.
  • Eloy Jimenez has recorded an RBI in three of the White Sox's last four games at Guaranteed Rate Field against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Yoan Moncada has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances against NL opponents.
  • Dylan Cease has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine home appearances against NL opponents.
  • Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one total base in each of the White Sox's last 12 games at Guaranteed Rate Field against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one hit in each of the White Sox's last 12 games at Guaranteed Rate Field against opponents that held a losing record.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Manny Machado has hit a home run in three of the Padres' last five games against AL Central opponents.
  • Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Padres' last six night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one total base in each of the Padres' last nine games against AL Central opponents.
  • Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres' last nine games as road favorites.
  • Ha-Seong Kim ranks 8th in the league in Steals (36) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Chicago White Sox rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (637).
  • The Chicago White Sox rank 29th in the league for RBI's this season (613).
  • The San Diego Padres are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
  • The San Diego Padres rank 4th in the league for ERA this season (3.79).

Pick

The Padres are still alive in the postseason race, as this article is written, but they are barely hanging on and will most likely be eliminated very soon. Even with the strong possibility of not making the playoffs, the Padres are playing great baseball right now. On the other hand, Chicago has been terrible over the last couple of months and is only 31-47 at home. Chicago is starting Dylan Cease, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. San Diego is starting Nick Martinez, who has allowed no earned runs over his last two starts (7IP). I am going to continue to ride the Padres on their hot streak here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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