Royals vs Tigers Prediction - MLB Picks 9/27/23

Detroit Tigers (74-83) vs Kansas City Royals (54-103)

Game Info: Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Comerica Park)

Tarik Skubal (7-3) (2.95) vs Jonathan Bowlan (0-0) (0.00)

Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers / Kansas City Royals --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Kansas City Royals will play the Detroit Tigers in Game 2 of their series on Wednesday night at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Detroit won the first game in this series by a score of 6-3 on Tuesday. 

Royals Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 54-103 this season and they have won six of their last seven games. Prior to losing the first game in this series, Kansas City won three games on the road in Houston and three games at home against Cleveland. The Royals have scored 6+ runs in five of their last seven games. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 5.15 ERA, a 1.40 WHIP, and a .262 opponent batting average this year. The Royals offense has scored 654 runs with a .243 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Salvador Perez is batting .254 with 22 home runs and 75 RBI’s for the Royals. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Jonathan Bowlan, who is making his first MLB appearance. 

Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 74-83 this season and they have won four of their last six games. Detroit came into this series after splitting a four game set with the Athletics in Oakland. The Tigers have allowed three runs or fewer in five of their last seven games. The Detroit pitching staff has a 4.32 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 628 runs with a .234 batting average and a .302 on base percentage this year. Spencer Torkelson is batting .232 with 29 home runs and 90 RBI’s for the Tigers. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 7-3 with a 2.95 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP over 76.1 innings pitched this season.

Detroit Tigers Team Facts

  • The Tigers have won eight of their last nine games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in 17 of their last 19 games as home favorites against the Royals following a home win.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last five games between the Royals and Tigers at Comerica Park.

Kansas City Royals Team Facts

  • The Royals have won each of their last five games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Royals have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games at Comerica Park following a road loss.
  • The Royals have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games as underdogs.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Royals' last three night games at Comerica Park.
  • The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last 10 night games.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Spencer Torkelson has hit at least one home run in three of the Tigers' last four Wednesday games at Comerica Park.
  • Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Tigers' last five home games.
  • Kerry Carpenter has scored at least one run in four of the Tigers' last five night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Tarik Skubal has recorded nine or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Javier Baez has recorded two or more total bases in five of his last six home appearances against the Royals after playing the previous day.
  • Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers' last six home games.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in seven of the Royals' last 24 night games.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded an RBI in six of the Royals' last eight night games.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Royals' last four games against AL Central opponents.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in four of his last five road appearances against the Tigers after playing the previous day.
  • Edward Olivares has recorded at least one hit in nine of his last 10 appearances against AL Central opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Detroit Tigers rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.377).
  • The Detroit Tigers rank 28th in the league for batting average this season (.234).
  • The Kansas City Royals rank 29th in the league for walks this season (401).
  • The Kansas City Royals rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.302).

Pick

The Royals had their winning streak snapped on Tuesday night, but they have played very well over the last two weeks. Detroit has also played well down the stretch and they have passed Cleveland for second in the AL Central. The Tigers are starting Tarik Skubal, who has allowed one earned run in his last 19 innings of work. The Royals are starting Jonathan Bowlan, who is making his debut. Skubal has been great for Detroit over his last five starts and I like the Tigers to win this game by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Tigers -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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