Royals vs Tigers Prediction - MLB Picks 9/26/23

Detroit Tigers (73-83) vs Kansas City Royals (54-102)

Game Info: Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Comerica Park)

Reese Olson (5-7) (4.13) vs Zack Greinke (1-15) (5.37)

Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers -142 / Kansas City Royals +130 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Kansas City Royals will play the Detroit Tigers in Game 1 of their series on Tuesday night at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Detroit comes into this series playing pretty well recently, while Kansas City has played great baseball over the last couple of weeks. 

Royals Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 54-102 this season and they have won 10 of their last 11 games. Kansas City is coming off of a series sweep against the Astros, where they won all three games on the road. The Royals have scored 5+ runs in five of their last six games. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 5.16 ERA, a 1.40 WHIP, and a .262 opponent batting average this season. The Royals offense has scored 651 runs with a .243 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .275 with 29 home runs and 93 RBI’s for the Royals. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Zack Greinke, who is 1-15 with a 5.37 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 132.1 innings pitched this year. 

Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 73-83 this season and they have won seven of their last eleven games. Detroit is coming off of a series split with the Athletics, where they won two games and lost two games. The Tigers have scored two runs or fewer in three straight games. The Detroit pitching staff has a 4.33 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 622 runs with a .234 batting average and a .302 on base percentage this year. Spencer Torkelson is batting .232 with 29 home runs and 88 RBI’s for the Tigers. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Reese Olson, who is 5-7 with a 4.13 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 98 innings pitched this season.

Detroit Tigers Team Facts

  • The Tigers have lost each of their last nine Tuesday games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against AL Central opponents following a road win.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last four games between the Royals and Tigers at Comerica Park.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five Tuesday night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against American League opponents.

Kansas City Royals Team Facts

  • The Royals have won each of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last six games.
  • The Royals have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games as underdogs.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Royals' last five games as underdogs.
  • The Royals have led after 7 innings in each of their last five games as underdogs.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Spencer Torkelson has hit at least one home run in three of the Tigers' last 10 games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Tigers' last four home games.
  • Matt Vierling has scored at least one run in four of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Carson Kelly has recorded two or more total bases in three of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against AL Central opponents.
  • Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers' last five home games.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

  • Salvador Perez has hit at least one home run in three of his last nine appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Kyle Isbel has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances with the Royals as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • Salvador Perez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances with the Royals as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in five of his last six road appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals' last seven games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Detroit Tigers rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.376).
  • The Detroit Tigers rank 28th in the league for batting average this season (.234).
  • The Kansas City Royals rank 29th in the league for walks this season (398).
  • The Kansas City Royals rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (5.16).

Pick

Kansas City comes into this series as one of the hottest teams in baseball, but they are only 23-55 on the road this season. Detroit is only 32-43 at home and they are starting Reese Olson, who has allowed four earned runs in his last four starts (25.2 IP). Kansas City is starting Zack Greinke, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five of his last six outings, but none of those have gone more than 4.2 innings pitched. Olson has been very good for Detroit recently, so give me the Tigers to get the win. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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