Braves vs Nationals Prediction - MLB Picks 9/24/23

Washington Nationals (68-87) vs Atlanta Braves (99-55)

Game Info: Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 1:35 pm (Nationals Park)

Jackson Rutledge/TBD vs Kyle Wright/Spencer Strider

Betting Odds: Washington Nationals / Atlanta Braves --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Atlanta Braves will play the Washington Nationals in a double header on Sunday at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Atlanta has won the first two games in this series by scores of 10-3 and 9-6, but Game 3 was postponed on Saturday due to weather. 

Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 99-55 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Atlanta came into this series after losing two out of three games to the Phillies. The Braves have scored 33 runs in their last four games and have the highest scoring offense in baseball. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average this season. The Braves offense has scored 899 runs with a .276 batting average and a .343 on base percentage. Ronald Acuna is batting .337 with 40 home runs and 101 RBI’s for the Braves. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta in Game 1 is Kyle Wright, who is 0-3 with a 7.71 ERA and a 1.95 WHIP over 25.2 innings pitched. The projected starting pitcher in Game 2 is Spencer Strider, who is 18-5 with a 3.73 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 176 innings pitched this year. 

Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals are 68-87 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Prior to this series, Washington won two out of three games against the White Sox at home. The Nationals have only won one of their last seven series. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.01 ERA, a 1.47 WHIP, and a .272 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 668 runs with a .253 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this year. Lane Thomas is batting .271 with 26 home runs and 84 RBI’s for the Nationals. The projected starting pitcher for Washington in Game 1 is Jackson Rutledge, who is 0-1 with an 8.10 ERA and a 1.80 WHIP over 10 innings pitched. The projected starting pitcher in Game 2 hasn’t been announced yet. 

Washington Nationals Team Facts

  • The Nationals have lost eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against NL East opponents.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six home games against NL East opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last four day games between the Braves and Nationals.

Atlanta Braves Team Facts

  • The Braves have won eight of their last nine road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Braves have covered the run line eight of their last nine road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Braves have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five Sunday games as road favorites.
  • The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Sunday road games.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • Lane Thomas has hit a home run in each of the Nationals' last two day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Dominic Smith has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Lane Thomas has recorded three or more total bases in each of the Nationals' last five day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Luis Garcia has scored at least one run in each of the Nationals' last four games against NL opponents.
  • Lane Thomas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Marcell Ozuna has hit a home run in three of the Braves' last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves' last seven day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Braves' last nine games against NL opponents.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in each of his last 13 appearances with the Braves as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks 1st in the league in Steals (68) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Washington Nationals rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (144).
  • The Washington Nationals rank 28th in the league for walks this season (406).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (296).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for RBI's this season (871).

Pick

The Braves come into this double header as one of the best teams in the MLB, while Washington is trying to find some momentum to carry into next year. The Braves have won six of the eight meetings with Washington this year and they will meet again next weekend to close out the season. Atlanta looks like they have bounced back after playing in four straight really bad games and they are 51-28 on the road. Keep an eye out for starting pitching changes, as the probable starters can move around in a double header. I am going to take the Nationals in Game 1 of this doubleheader, while taking the Braves -1.5 in Game 2. 

David’s Pick Game 1: Nationals ML Game 2: Braves -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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