Diamondbacks vs Yankees Prediction - MLB Picks 9/22/23

New York Yankees (77-76) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (81-72)

Game Info: Friday, September 22, 2023 at 7:05 pm (Yankee Stadium)

Luke Weaver (2-5) (6.77) vs Brandon Pfaadt (2-8) (5.86)

Betting Odds: New York Yankees -120 / Arizona Diamondbacks +110 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Arizona Diamondbacks will play the New York Yankees in Game 1 of their series on Friday night at Yankee Stadium in New York. The Yankees were able to avoid a sweep on Thursday, while Arizona comes into this game on a nice winning streak. 

Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 81-72 this season and they have won five games in a row. Arizona is coming off of a series win against the Giants, where they won both games in the miniseries. The Diamondbacks have scored 6+ runs in five straight games. The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.54 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average this season. The Diamondbacks offense has scored 713 runs with a .253 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Corbin Carroll is batting .286 with 25 home runs and 73 RBI’s for the Diamondbacks. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Brandon Pfaadt, who is 2-8 with a 5.86 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 86 innings pitched this year. 

Yankees Preview

The New York Yankees are 77-76 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. New York is coming off of a series loss to the Blue Jays, where they lost two out of three games at home. The Yankees have played better over the last month, but it has been a very disappointing season in the Bronx. The New York pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 639 runs with a .225 batting average and a .303 on base percentage this year. Gleyber Torres is batting .273 with 25 home runs and 66 RBI’s for the Yankees. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Luke Weaver, who is 2-5 with a 6.77 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP over 114.1 innings pitched this season.

New York Yankees Team Facts

  • The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a home win.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 16 Friday home games.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Yankees' last three games as home favorites against National League opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks Team Facts

  • The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last seven road games against American League opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line each of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 7 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks' last three games as road underdogs.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • DJ LeMahieu has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five home appearances against the Diamondbacks.
  • Aaron Judge has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Luke Weaver has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in night games.
  • Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of the Yankees' last seven games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 home appearances against NL West opponents.
  • DJ LeMahieu has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with his team as a favorite against the Diamondbacks.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Diamondbacks' last two games as road underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Jace Peterson has recorded an RBI in each of his last three appearances against the Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Diamondbacks' last four games as road underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Diamondbacks' last five road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Yankees rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.225).
  • The New York Yankees rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.233).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1190).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 23rd in the league for strikeouts this season (1266).

Pick

Arizona comes into this series in the second Wild Card spot in the NL, but they are only two games up on the Marlins and Cubs, who are tied for the last spot. New York is 40-38 at home and they are starting Luke Weaver, who allowed three earned runs over four innings in his first start for New York this year. Arizona is starting Brandon Pfaadt, who has allowed 0, 4, 3, and 5 earned runs in his last four starts. Arizona comes into this game playing very well, but Pfaadt has struggled in his last two road starts. I like the Yankees in this one. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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