Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction - MLB Picks 9/19/23

St. Louis Cardinals (67-83) vs Milwaukee Brewers (84-66)

Game Info: Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 7:45 pm (Busch Stadium)

Drew Rom (1-2) (5.96) vs Adrian Houser (6-4) (4.53)

Betting Odds: St. Louis Cardinals / Milwaukee Brewers --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals clash Tuesday in game 2 of an MLB series at Busch Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Brewers look for a win after winning 8 of their last 12 games. The Brewers have a 6 game lead in the NL Central. The Brewers pitching staff is 4th in ERA (3.80), 2nd in WHIP (1.18) and 6th in quality starts (66). The Brewers' offense is 19th in runs per game (4.43), 26th in batting average (.238) and 24th in homers (152). Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with 143 hits and 70 RBI, while William Contreras and Willy Adames have combined for 249 hits and 150 RBI. Trevor Megill gets the ball, and he is 1-0 with a 3.13 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season. Megill is 0-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 3 strikeouts in his career against the Cardinals.

Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts

The Brewers have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against National League opponents.
The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six night games following a road loss.
The Brewers have trailed after 7 innings in seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last eight games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Brewers' last four road games.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The Cardinals look for a win after splitting their last 8 games. The Cardinals are 11 games out of the NL wild card race. The Cardinals pitching staff is 25th in ERA (4.76), 27th in WHIP (1.45) and 23rd in quality starts (45). The Cardinals' offense is 17th in runs per game (4.52), 13th in batting average (.252) and 9th in homers (203). Paul Goldschmidt leads the Cardinals with 153 hits and 78 RBI, while Nolan Arenado and Willson Contreras have combined for 262 hits and 159 RBI. Drew Rom gets the ball, and he is 1-2 with a 5.96 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. This will be Rom’s first career game against the Brewers.

St. Louis Cardinals Team Facts

The Cardinals have won each of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home win.
The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home win.
The Cardinals have led after 7 innings in four of their last six games as underdogs.
The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in four of their last six games as underdogs.
The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Cardinals' last four home games against NL Central opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The St. Louis Cardinals rank T1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (160).
The St. Louis Cardinals rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (1129).
The Milwaukee Brewers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.226).
The Milwaukee Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (1125).

Randy’s Pick

The Brewers need to take advantage of games like this to close in on a division title, and Trevor Megill has been sharp with a 3.13 ERA and 1.20 WHIP despite just 31.2 innings. The Cardinals have had issues stringing together wins all year, which is why they're at where they are, and Drew Rom has a near 6 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in 22.2 innings. Hard to like the Cardinals in this spot. Give me the Brewers behind one of their better starting pitchers this season as they inch closer to a NL Central crown.