Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction - MLB Picks 9/19/23

New York Yankees (76-74) vs Toronto Blue Jays (83-67)

Game Info: Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 7:05 pm (Yankee Stadium)

Clarke Schmidt (9-8) (4.56) vs Yusei Kikuchi (9-6) (3.81)

Betting Odds: New York Yankees -105 / Toronto Blue Jays -115 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Toronto Blue Jays will play the New York Yankees in Game 1 of their series on Tuesday night at Yankee Stadium in New York. The Yankees have been playing some very solid baseball over the last couple of weeks, while Toronto is fighting in the AL Wild Card race.

Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 83-67 this season and they have won three games in a row. Toronto is coming off of a series win against Boston, where they won all three games. The Blue Jays are currently in the second Wild Card spot, but Texas and Seattle are right behind them. The Toronto pitching staff has a 3.74 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average this year. The Blue Jays offense has scored 679 runs with a .257 batting average and a .329 on base percentage. Bo Bichette is batting .303 with 18 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Blue Jays. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Yusei Kikuchi, who is 9-6 with a 3.81 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 153.2 innings pitched this season.

Yankees Preview

The New York Yankees are 76-74 this season and they have won three of their last four games. New York is coming off of a series win against the Pirates, where they won two out of three games on the road. The Yankees have scored 23 runs in their last four games. The New York pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 632 runs with a .226 batting average and a .304 on base percentage this season. Gleyber Torres is batting .271 with 25 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Yankees. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Clarke Schmidt, who is 9-8 with a 4.56 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 146 innings pitched this year.

New York Yankees Team Facts

  • The Yankees have won six of their last seven games as underdogs.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven games at Yankee Stadium against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have led after 7 innings in six of their last seven games as underdogs.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Yankees' last four night games.
  • The Yankees have lost the first inning in each of their last three games against AL East opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Team Facts

  • The Blue Jays have lost six of their last seven games as favorites against the Yankees following a home win.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against AL East opponents following a home win.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last six games as road favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 7 innings in 10 of their last 15 games as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Blue Jays' last six games as road favorites against American League opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in three of the Yankees' last four games against the Blue Jays.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Yankees' last four games against AL opponents at Yankee Stadium.
  • DJ LeMahieu has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last five appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Gleyber Torres has scored at least one run in each of the Yankees' last four games against AL opponents at Yankee Stadium.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees' last eight games against AL opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays' last four games against AL opponents.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Blue Jays' last five games as favorites against the Yankees.
  • Cavan Biggio has scored a run in each of the Blue Jays' last four road games.
  • Yusei Kikuchi has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Matt Chapman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Tuesday night appearances against teams that held a winning record.
  • Matt Chapman has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 Tuesday night appearances against teams that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Yankees rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.226).
  • The New York Yankees rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.233).
  • The Toronto Blue Jays are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
  • The Toronto Blue Jays rank 4th in the league for runs allowed this season (619).

Pick

The Blue Jays come into this game needing to continue to string wins together, but they will face a New York team that has played their best baseball at home this year. The Blue Jays have been a solid road team this season, going 42-33 away from the Rogers Centre. Toronto is starting Yusei Kikuchi, who has allowed 6, 1, 2, and 4 earned runs in his last four starts. New York is starting Clarke Schmidt, who has allowed three earned runs in each of his last three starts. The Blue Jays need the win more than New York does, but I am going to take the Yankees at home in this matchup. 

David’s Pick Yankees ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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