Angels vs Rays Prediction - MLB Picks 9/19/23

Tampa Bay Rays (92-59) vs Los Angeles Angels (68-82)

Game Info: Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Tropicana Field)

Taj Bradley (5-7) (5.56) vs Patrick Sandoval (7-13) (4.48)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Rays -218 / Los Angeles Angels +180 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Los Angeles Angels will play the Tampa Bay Rays in Game 1 of their series on Tuesday night at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Tampa Bay comes into this series trailing the Orioles by two games in the AL East, while the Angels have lost five games in a row and are ready for the season to be done. 

Angels Preview

The Los Angeles Angels are 68-82 this season and they have lost five games in a row. Los Angeles is coming off of a series loss to the Tigers, where they lost all three games at home. The Angels have allowed 32 runs in their last five games. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.67 ERA, a 1.41 WHIP, and a .253 opponent batting average this season. The Angels offense has scored 690 runs with a .246 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Brandon Drury is batting .251 with 21 home runs and 70 RBI’s for the Angels. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Patrick Sandoval, who is 7-13 with a 4.48 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 136.2 innings pitched this year. 

Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 92-59 this season and they have won three of their last five games. Tampa Bay is coming off of a series split with the Orioles, where they won two games and lost two games. The Rays have played very well over the last couple of weeks and actually tied Baltimore in the AL East after Friday’s game, but lost Games 3 and 4 in the series. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA, a 1.16 WHIP, and a .229 opponent batting average. The Rays offense has scored 795 runs with a .257 batting average and a .329 on base percentage this year. Randy Arozarena is batting .259 with 22 home runs and 81 RBI’s for the Rays. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Taj Bradley, who is 5-7 with a 5.56 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 90.2 innings pitched this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Team Facts

  • The Rays have won nine of their last 10 games at Tropicana Field against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last six home games.
  • The Rays have led after 7 innings in each of their last five home games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rays' last three games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games at Tropicana Field against AL West opponents that held a losing record.

Los Angeles Angels Team Facts

  • The Angels have lost each of their last 13 night games against the Rays following a home loss.
  • The Angels have covered the run line in each of their last five games as road underdogs following a home loss.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Angels' last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Angels have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents.
  • The Angels have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Isaac Paredes has hit a home run in two of the Rays' last three games against the Angels at Tropicana Field.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded an RBI in each of his last four home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Randy Arozarena has scored at least one run in eight of the Rays' last nine games at Tropicana Field against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rays' last six home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded two hits in each of the Rays' last four games as favorites against AL West opponents.
  • Yandy Diaz ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.398) this season.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

  • Jared Walsh has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
  • Brandon Drury has recorded an RBI in each of his last four road appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Brandon Drury has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Drury has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last seven appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Drury has recorded at least one hit in 21 of his last 22 appearances after not playing the previous day.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tampa Bay Rays are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
  • The Tampa Bay Rays are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
  • The Los Angeles Angels rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (578).
  • The Los Angeles Angels rank 27th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1402).

Pick

The Rays come into this game in hot pursuit of the Orioles in the AL East and they will take on an Angels team that has really struggled over the last couple of weeks. Tampa Bay is 50-25 at home this season, while Los Angeles is only 33-42 on the road. The Rays are starting Taj Bradley, who has allowed 4, 4, 1, and 5 earned runs in his last four starts. The Angels are starting Patrick Sandoval, who has allowed 5, 4, and 5 earned runs in his last three outings. Neither pitcher has been very good in recent outings and I am going to take the over here. 

David’s Pick Over 8

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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