Phillies vs Braves Prediction - MLB Picks 9/18/23

Atlanta Braves (96-53) vs Philadelphia Phillies (81-68)

Game Info: Monday, September 18, 2023 at 7:20 pm (Truist Park)

Kyle Wright (0-2) (7.48) vs Zack Wheeler (11-6) (3.65)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -120 / Philadelphia Phillies +110 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies do battle Monday night in game 1 of an MLB series at Truist Park. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Phillies need a win after losing 5 of their last 8 games. The Phillies are in first place in the NL wild card race. The Phillies pitching staff is 12th in ERA (4.03), 8th in WHIP (1.25) and 8th in quality starts (64). The Phillies' offense is 9th in runs per game (4.90), 6th in batting average (.259) and 10th in homers (198). Trea Turner leads the Phillies with 163 hits and 75 RBI, while Nick Castellanos and Bryson Stott have combined for 317 hits and 154 RBI. Zack Wheeler gets the ball, and he is 11-6 with a 3.70 ERA and 196 strikeouts this season. Wheeler is 11-7 with a 3.24 ERA and 168 strikeouts in his career against the Braves.

Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts

  • The Phillies have won each of their last 10 Monday night games against NL East opponents.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in six of their last seven road games following a road loss.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Phillies' last three night games.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Braves look to snap a rough 3-game losing streak. The Braves have already clinched the NL East. The Braves pitching staff is 14th in ERA (4.07), 18th in WHIP (1.29) and 11th in quality starts (57). The Braves' offense is 1st in runs per game (5.81), 1st in batting average (.275) and 1st in homers (288). Ronald Acuna Jr. leads the Braves with 201 hits and 98 RBI, while Austin Riley and Matt Olson have combined for 320 hits and 219 RBI. Kyle Wright gets the ball, and he is 0-2 with a 7.48 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. Wright is 2-4 with a 5.13 ERA and 26 strikeouts in his career against the Phillies.

Atlanta Braves Team Facts

  • The Braves have won 13 of their last 14 home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have covered the run line 13 of their last 14 home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have led after 7 innings in each of their last six games at Truist Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games as favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last five home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (865).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1411).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
  • The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.

Randy’s Pick

The Braves should be eager for a bounce back performance, and they don't string together losses often. However, the Braves looked awful in their series against the Marlins, and you could question if clinching the division forced them to take their foot off the gas. The Phillies have more to play for, and Zack Wheeler has been solid with a 3.70 ERA. Kyle Wright has been awful through 21.2 innings with a 7.48 ERA and 1.89 WHIP. Hard to get behind Wright in this spot. Give me the Phillies and the plus money.

Randy’s Pick Philadelphia Phillies +110

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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