Yankees vs Pirates Prediction - MLB Picks 9/17/23

Pittsburgh Pirates (69-80) vs New York Yankees (76-73)

Game Info: Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 1:35 pm (PNC Park)

Colin Selby (2-1) (8.20) vs Carlos Rodon (3-5) (6.14)

Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates / New York Yankees --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New York Yankees will play the Pittsburgh Pirates in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. New York has won the first two games in this series by scores of 7-5 and 6-3. 

Yankees Preview

The New York Yankees are 76-73 this season and they have won six of their last seven games. Prior to this series, New York won three out of four games against Boston. The Yankees have played very well in recent games and they have scored 21 runs in their last three contests. The New York pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average this season. The Yankees offense has scored 630 runs with a .226 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. DJ LeMahieu is batting .243 with 15 home runs and 43 RBI’s for the Yankees. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Carlos Rodon, who is 3-5 with a 6.14 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 51.1 innings pitched this year. 

Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 69-80 this season and they have won three of their last five games. The Pirates have struggled in the first two games of this series, but they did win three out of four against Washington in their last series. The Pirates have allowed 5+ runs in four of their last seven games. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.51 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .251 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 625 runs with a .237 batting average and a .313 on base percentage this year. Jack Suwinski is batting .214 with 25 home runs and 66 RBI’s for the Pirates. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Colin Selby, who is 2-1 with an 8.20 ERA and a 1.66 WHIP over 18.2 innings pitched this season. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Team Facts

  • The Pirates have lost each of their last nine games at PNC Park against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six day games at PNC Park against American League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Pirates' last five home games against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Team Facts

  • The Yankees have lost each of their last six day games against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games against National League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Yankees' last five games.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

  • Ke'Bryan Hayes has hit a home run in six of the Pirates' last 14 games as home underdogs.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Pirates' last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ji-Hwan Bae has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances against AL opponents.
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Pirates' last four home games against AL East opponents.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates' last eight games against opponents that held a winning record.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in three of the Yankees' last five games against the Pirates.
  • Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Yankees' last five day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Carlos Rodon has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL opponents.
  • Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of his last eight appearances with the Yankees as road favorites against NL opponents.
  • DJ LeMahieu has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite against the Pirates.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates rank 27th in the league for home runs this season (145).
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates rank 27th in the league for batting average this season (.237).
  • The New York Yankees rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.226).
  • The New York Yankees rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.233).

Pick

The Yankees come into this game playing great baseball over the last week and they are no longer in last place in the AL East, as they were able to pass Boston. Pittsburgh is 37-40 at home this year and they are starting Colin Selby, who will be used as an opener. New York is starting Carlos Rodon, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. The Yankees are red hot right now and I am going to take them -1.5 in this game. 

David’s Pick Yankees -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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