Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction - MLB Picks 9/17/23

Toronto Blue Jays (82-67) vs Boston Red Sox (74-75)

Game Info: Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 1:37 pm (Rogers Centre)

Hyun Jin Ryu (3-3) (2.93) vs Nick Pivetta (9-8) (4.56)

Betting Odds: Toronto Blue Jays -148 / Boston Red Sox +124 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Boston Red Sox will play the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Toronto has won the first two games in this series by scores of 3-0 and 4-3, and they are right in the middle of the AL Wild Card race. 

Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 74-75 this year and they have lost five of their last six games. Boston has not played well recently and they are now last in the AL East. The Red Sox have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last six games. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.55 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, and a .258 opponent batting average this year. The Red Sox offense has scored 734 runs with a .261 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Rafael Devers is batting .274 with 32 home runs and 97 RBI’s for the Red Sox. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Nick Pivetta, who is 9-9 with a 4.56 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 122.1 innings pitched this season. 

Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 82-67 this season and they have lost four of their last six games. Toronto has won the first two games in this series, but they did lose all four games to Texas at home in their last series. The Blue Jays have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Toronto pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 676 runs with a .257 batting average and a .330 on base percentage this season. Bo Bichette is batting .305 with 18 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Blue Jays. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Hyun Jin Ryu, who is 3-3 with a 2.93 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 40 innings pitched this year.

Toronto Blue Jays Team Facts

  • The Blue Jays have lost six of their last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against AL East opponents following a home win.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Sunday day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 7 innings in each of their last five games at Rogers Centre against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Blue Jays' last six day games.

Boston Red Sox Team Facts

  • The Red Sox have lost each of their last eight day games against American League opponents following a road loss.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games following an extra innings loss.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Red Sox's last four road games.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays' last three games as home favorites.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Blue Jays' last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored a run in each of the Blue Jays' last seven games at Rogers Centre against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • George Springer has recorded two or more total bases in six of his last seven appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
  • Hyun-Jin Ryu has recorded five strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against AL opponents.
  • Alejandro Kirk has recorded a hit in each of the Blue Jays' last six games against the Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Adam Duvall has hit a home run in four of his last five Sunday day appearances.
  • Connor Wong has recorded an RBI in each of his last three appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Justin Turner has scored a run in each of the Red Sox's last eight Sunday games as underdogs.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one total base in each of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight Sunday day appearances.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Blue Jays are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
  • The Toronto Blue Jays are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
  • The Boston Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for batting average this season (.261).
  • The Boston Red Sox rank 26th in the league for hits allowed this season (1326).

Pick

The Blue Jays made a nice comeback for the win on Saturday and they will look for the series sweep in this game. Toronto is 40-34 at home and they are right in the middle of the AL Wild Card race. Boston has struggled recently and they are starting Nick Pivetta, who has allowed six earned runs in his last two starts (10 IP). Toronto is starting Hyun Jin Ryu, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. I like the Blue Jays to complete the sweep in this game. 

David’s Pick Blue Jays ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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