Rangers vs Guardians Prediction - MLB Picks 9/17/23

Cleveland Guardians (71-78) vs Texas Rangers (82-66)

Game Info: Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 1:40 pm (Progressive Field)

Gavin Williams (2-5) (3.43) vs Martin Perez (9-4) (4.71)

Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians / Texas Rangers --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Texas Rangers will play the Cleveland Guardians in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Cleveland has won the first two games in this series by scores of 12-3 and 2-1, which has cost the Rangers some very important ground in the AL Wild Card race. 

Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers are 82-66 this season and they have won six of their last eight games. Texas came into this series on a roll, winning six straight games against Toronto and Oakland. The Rangers have played very inconsistently over the last six weeks and they need to avoid the sweep in this game. The Texas pitching staff has a 4.29 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average this season. The Rangers offense has scored 816 runs with a .266 batting average and a .338 on base percentage. Corey Seager is batting .340 with 31 home runs and 92 RBI’s for the Rangers. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Martin Perez, who is 9-4 with a 4.71 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 130 innings pitched this season. 

Guardians Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 71-78 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Cleveland had really struggled prior to this series, losing eight of the previous eleven games. The Guardians were fighting for the AL Central, but their most recent slump was the nail in the coffin for the postseason. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 605 runs with a .250 batting average and a .313 on base percentage this year. Jose Ramirez is batting .279 with 23 home runs and 76 RBI’s for the Guardians. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Gavin Williams, who is 2-5 with a 3.43 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 76 innings pitched this season. 

Cleveland Guardians Team Facts

  • The Guardians have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a win.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 games against AL West opponents following a win.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Guardians' last five games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as home favorites.
  • The Guardians have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four games as home favorites against American League opponents.

Texas Rangers Team Facts

  • The Rangers have lost each of their last six games at Progressive Field against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games following a loss.
  • The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs.
  • The Rangers have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last six day games at Progressive Field against American League opponents.
  • The Rangers have won the first inning in each of their last three day games.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Marcus Semien has hit a home run in each of the Rangers' last two day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Marcus Semien has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Rangers' last five day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Marcus Semien has scored at least one run in each of the Rangers' last eight Sunday day games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Robbie Grossman has recorded at least one total base in each of his last six appearances with the Rangers as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Leody Taveras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Corey Seager ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.340) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cleveland Guardians rank 29th in the league for RBI's this season (566).
  • The Cleveland Guardians rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (605).
  • The Texas Rangers rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.266).
  • The Texas Rangers rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (816).

Pick

Texas really needs to get a win in this game, as they are battling with Seattle and Toronto for the last two AL Wild Card spots. The Guardians had looked lifeless in previous series, but they are playing the roll of spoiler here. Texas hasn’t announced an official starting pitcher, but it may be Martin Perez, who has been working as a reliever. Cleveland is starting Gavin Williams, who has allowed four earned runs in his last 12 innings of work. The Rangers have been too inconsistent for my liking, so I am going to take the Guardians at home.

David’s Pick Guardians ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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