Twins vs White Sox Prediction - MLB Picks 9/16/23

Chicago White Sox (56-92) vs Minnesota Twins (78-70)

Game Info: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 7:10 pm (Guaranteed Rate Field)

Touki Toussaint (3-7) (5.65) vs Pablo Lopez (10-7) (3.48)

Betting Odds: Chicago White Sox +182 / Minnesota Twins -200 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins face off on Saturday in an MLB showdown at Guaranteed Rate Field. The Twins have won the first two games of this series.

Royce Lewis is a Star

Royce Lewis is a star, and the Twins need to do everything in their power to lock him up long-term. Lewis hit another grand slam on Friday and now this season he has hit four. At this point, if he’s up with the bases loaded, the opponents have to think about pitching around him, even if it means a walk. The Twins are averaging 4.69 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.1 runs per game. The pitching is 4th best in baseball. On the mound for the Twins will be Pablo Lopez who sits with a 10-7 record and an ERA of 3.43. In his last start against the Mets he went eight innings giving up two hits and zero runs. 

Twins Betting Trends

  • The Twins have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against the White Sox following a win.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Twins' last four games as favorites.

White Sox Need Better Pitching

The White Sox have given up 20 runs so far this series and if they want any chance in here, the White Sox are going to need the pitching to be better. On the mound for the White Sox will be Touki Toussaint and he sits with a 3-7 record and an ERA of 5.65. The Whtie Sox are averaging 4.08 runs while their pitching is giving up 5.26 runs per game. The offense is ranked 25th while the pitching is ranked 27th. 

White Sox Betting Trends

  • The White Sox have lost each of their last seven night games against the Twins following a loss.
  • The White Sox have failed to cover the run line each of their last six night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the White Sox's last seven games as underdogs.
  • The White Sox have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six home night games.

White Sox vs Twins Facts

  • The Chicago White Sox rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (599).
  • The Chicago White Sox rank 4th in the league for strikeouts this season (1372).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 4th in the league for walks allowed this season (410).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 4th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.237).

Shane’s Free Pick

The Twins offense has been strong heading into this game and it’s going to be no different in this game. Toussaint sits with an ERA of 5.65 and the Twins are going to have no issue teeing off on him here. The Twins will score eight or nine runs at least and this will be a comfortable victory. Back the Twins -1.5. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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