Rays at Orioles Prediction - MLB Picks 9/14/23

Baltimore Orioles (91-54) vs Tampa Bay Rays (90-57)

Game Info: Thursday, September 14, 2023 at 7:15 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)

Kyle Bradish (11-6) (3.03) vs Aaron Civale (7-3) (2.96)

Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -130 / Tampa Bay Rays +120 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Baltimore Orioles and the Tampa Bay Rays will begin a divisional series this Thursday from Camden Yards on FOX.

Rays Preview & Projected Starter

Tampa Bay comes in at 90-57 after taking two of three from Minnesota. The Rays come into Camden winners seven of their last nine games, and they’ll look to shake things up atop the AL East. The Tampa offense is scoring 5.13 runs per game, while batting .255, with a .327 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.70 ERA, with a 1.18 WHIP. 

Aaron Civale (7-3, 2.96 ERA, 98 Ks) will get the ball for Tampa. The fifth-year righty struggled with Seattle at home last week, allowing four runs thru five innings pitched, but he avoided the losing decision. Civale has only allowed more three runs in three of twenty starts this season, and he’ll look to get back to those reliable ways here in Baltimore. 

Rays Player Trends & Props

Yandy Díaz has recorded multiple hits in four of the last five games, and he leads Tampa in batting (.324) and hits (157), with 20 home runs and 73 RBI.

Josh Lowe has produced a run in three of the last four games, and he’s posting splits of .285/18/75. 

Isaac Paredes has recorded a hit in six of the last nine games, and he leads the Rays in home runs (29) and RBI (89). 

Randy Arozarena went yard in the game three victory, and he’s second on the team with 22 homers and 79 runs batted in. 


Orioles Preview & Projected Starter 

Baltimore comes in at 91-54 after dropping two of three to St. Louis. The Orioles left men on base repeatedly in both losses to the Cardinals, and they’ll look for better results here in divisional play. The Baltimore offense is scoring 4.95 runs per game, while batting .252, with a .329 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.09 ERA, with a 1.29 WHIP.  

Kyle Bradish (11-6, 3.03 ERA, 122 Ks) will take the bump for Baltimore. The sophomore came thru with another strong outing at Fenway, striking out nine thru six innings to earn his eleventh victory. Bradish has been on a roll since returning from the All-Star break, as he’s won four straight decisions, and delivered eight quality starts during this span. Bradish has cleared seven strikeouts in five of his last seven bouts, and he’ll look to keep things going here against Tampa.

Orioles Player Trends & Props

Adley Rutschmann has recorded a hit in seven of the last ten games,  and he leads Baltimore in hits (144), with splits of .270/18/70. 

Ryan Mountcastle is hitless thru his last five contests, so he could be due soon, and he’s posting an identical line of .269/18/67.

Anthony Santander has doubled in three of the last five games, and he leads O’s in home runs (27) and RBI (84).6

Gunnar Henderson has totaled multiple bases in seven of the previous nine games, and he’s totaled 25 homers and 75 RBI for the season. 

Austin Hays has collected a hit in seven of the last nine games, and he leads the Orioles in batting (.285), while tallying 61 RBI.

Corey’s Free Pick

You’ve got a model for consistency on one side, while you have arguably the most improved pitcher in baseball on the other. You also happen to have two of the top lineups in baseball fighting for position atop the best division in sports. We have elements for containment, but we also have factors for combustion. The Over is going to have a chance due to firepower on both sides, but after dropping two straight at home, I believe Baltimore goes out and gets game one tonite.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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