Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction - MLB Picks 9/13/23

Boston Red Sox (73-72) vs New York Yankees (73-72)

Game Info: Wednesday, September 13, 2023 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)

Tanner Houck (4-9) (5.28) vs Clarke Schmidt (9-8) (4.54)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -130 / New York Yankees +110 --- Over/Under: 10 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New York Yankees will play the Boston Red Sox in Game 3 of their series on Wednesday night at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. These two teams played a doubleheader on Tuesday, with the Yankees winning both games by scores of 3-2 and 4-1. With the two wins, the Yankees have tied the Red Sox for fourth in the AL East. 

Yankees Preview

The New York Yankees are 73-72 this season and they have won three games in a row. The Yankees came into this series after losing two out of three games to the Brewers, but they have played well in their last couple of weeks. New York has won 11 of their last 15 games. The New York pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average this season. The Yankees offense has scored 609 runs with a .225 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Gleyber Torres is batting .271 with 25 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Yankees. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Clarke Schmidt, who is 9-8 with a 4.54 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 140.2 innings pitched this year.

Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 73-72 this season and they have lost six of their last seven games. Boston came into this series after losing two out of three games to the Orioles and Rays. The Red Sox have scored two runs or fewer in four of their last six games. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.60 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .260 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 721 runs with a .263 batting average and a .329 on base percentage this year. Triston Casas is batting .265 with 24 home runs and 64 RBI’s for the Red Sox. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Tanner Houck, who is 4-9 with a 5.28 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 87 innings pitched this season.

Boston Red Sox Team Facts

  • The Red Sox have lost each of their last five games as home favorites.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line each of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last three night games between the Yankees and Red Sox at Fenway Park.
  • The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Red Sox have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five games as home favorites against American League opponents.

New York Yankees Team Facts

  • The Yankees have won each of their last six games as road underdogs.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Wednesday games against the Red Sox.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Yankees' last three night games at Fenway Park.
  • The Yankees have led after 7 innings in each of their last six games as underdogs.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Rafael Devers has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox's last four games against the Yankees.
  • Connor Wong has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances at Fenway Park against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Masataka Yoshida has recorded two or more total bases in 13 of his last 15 home appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Alex Verdugo has scored a run in each of his last four appearances in night games.
  • Justin Turner has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 11 home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances against the Red Sox after playing the previous day.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded two hits in each of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one RBI in nine of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents.
  • DJ LeMahieu has recorded two total bases in each of his last five appearances with the Yankees as underdogs against the Red Sox.
  • Gleyber Torres has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Boston Red Sox ranks 3rd in the league for batting average this season (.263).
  • The Boston Red Sox ranks 26th in the league for home runs allowed this season (192).
  • The New York Yankees ranks 30th in the league for batting average this season (.225).
  • The New York Yankees ranks 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.233).

Pick

The Red Sox were swept in the doubleheader on Tuesday and they are now tied with the Yankees for last in the AL East. Boston has really struggled in recent games and they are only 37-37 at home this season. The Red Sox are starting Tanner Houck, who has allowed nine earned runs in his last 10.1 innings pitched. The Yankees are starting Clarke Schmidt, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four straight outings. I like New York to get another win here. 

David’s Pick Yankees ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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