Rays vs Twins Prediction - MLB Picks 9/13/23

Minnesota Twins (75-69) vs Tampa Bay Rays (89-56)

Game Info: Wednesday, September 13, 2023 at 1:10 pm (Target Field)

Dallas Keuchel (1-1) (4.78) vs Taj Bradley (5-7) (5.34)

Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins +109 / Tampa Bay Rays -121 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Minnesota Twins and Tampa Bay Rays face off on Wednesday in an MLB showdown at Target Field. The two teams have split the first two games of this series. 

Twins Creep Closer to Playoff Berth

The Twins are getting closer and closer to make the playoffs and a big reason is because the Cleveland Guardians continue to lose. Even when the Twins lose, it also seems that the Guardians lose also. The Twins are averaging 4.64 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.15 runs per game. The offense is ranked 14th in baseball but the strength has been the pitching is currently ranked 4th. On the mound for the Twins is Dallas Keuchel who sits with a 1-1 record and an ERA of 4.78. Kuechel has had two bad starts, but his other starts he has been really good. 

Twins Betting Trends

  • The Twins have lost each of their last eight games as home underdogs against American League opponents following a home win.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against AL East opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Twins' last three games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents.
  • The Twins have led after 7 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents.

Has Taj Bradley Turned the Corner?

On the mound for the Rays will be Taj Bradley and he sits with a 5-4 record and an ERA of 5.77. The Rays have lost six of Bradley’s last eight starts, but the two wins have come in his last two starts. The Rays are averaging 5.33 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.96 runs per game. The offense is ranked 4th in the league while the pitching is 1st. If Bradley is good in this game, the Rays will be in good shape to secure the win.

Rays Betting Trends

  • The Rays have won eight of their last nine road games following a loss.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last eight games.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rays' last three games as favorites.
  • The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Twins vs Rays Facts

  • The Minnesota Twins ranks 4th in the league for walks allowed this season (405).
  • The Minnesota Twins ranks 4th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.237).
  • The Tampa Bay Rays ranks 2nd in the league for steals this season (154).
  • The Tampa Bay Rays ranks 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.230).

Shane’s Free Pick

I don’t love a play either way on the side, but I do love a total play. Kuechel is going to be good here and he will continue the success he has had at Target Field so far this season. I also expect Bradley is going to have a good start here, and the Twins bats are going to continue to struggle here. Look for this game to finish with only five or six runs total and the under is going to cash. 

Shane’s Pick Under

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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