Padres vs Dodgers Prediction - MLB Picks 9/13/23

Los Angeles Dodgers (87-56) vs San Diego Padres (68-77)

Game Info: Wednesday, September 13, 2023 at 10:10 pm (Dodger Stadium)

Ryan Pepiot (2-0) (0.86) vs Blake Snell (13-9) (2.52)

Betting Odds: Los Angeles Dodgers -137 / San Diego Padres +116 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers face off on Wednesday in an MLB showdown at Dodger Stadium. 

Will Blake Snell Win the Cy Young?

Blake Snell gets the start in this game for the Padres and he has pitched well enough this season to win the Cy Young. Overall he sits with a 13-9 record and an ERA of 2.92. In his last start against the Astros he went six innings giving up five hits and two runs. The Padres are averaging 4.59 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.15 runs per game. The offense is ranked 16th while the pitching is ranked 5th. 

Padres Betting Trends

  • The Padres have won each of their last four night games following a loss.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last four night games following a loss.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Padres' last five games against NL West opponents.
  • The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games at Dodger Stadium against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games at Dodger Stadium.

Why Wasn’t Ryan Pepiot Starting Earlier

The big question for the Dodgers is why wasn’t Ryan Pepiot starting for the Dodgers earlier. Coming into this game he sits with a 2-0 record and an ERA of 0.86. In his last start against the Marlins he went seven innings giving up one hit and zero runs. He has made only four starts this season. The Dodgers are averaging 5.6 runs per game while their pitching is giving up 4.47 runs per game. The offense is ranked 2nd while the pitching is ranked 15th. 

Dodgers Betting Trends

  • The Dodgers have won 10 of their last 11 home games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Dodgers' last five games as favorites.
  • The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against the Padres at Dodger Stadium.

Padres vs Dodgers Facts

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers ranks 2nd in the league for home runs this season (226).
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers ranks 2nd in the league for RBI's this season (794).
  • The San Diego Padres ranks 6th in the league for hits allowed this season (1167).
  • The San Diego Padres ranks 24th in the league for hits this season (1165).

Shane’s Free Pick

This game could finish 1-0 and it wouldn’t shock me. The Dodgers offense is good, but they are going to lockdown with Blake Snell. Pepiot has been shutting down everyone and the Padres bats are going to be ice cold here. This game is going to be a pitchers duel, and the under is going to cash here with ease. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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