Reds vs Tigers Prediction - MLB Picks 9/12/23

Detroit Tigers (66-77) vs Cincinnati Reds (74-71)

Game Info: Tuesday, September 12, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Comerica Park)

Joey Wentz (2-11) (6.65) vs Brandon Williamson (4-4) (4.20)

Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers / Cincinnati Reds --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Cincinnati Reds will play the Detroit Tigers in Game 1 of their series on Tuesday night at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. The Tigers are coming off of a series win against the White Sox, while the Reds are coming off of a disappointing series loss to the Cardinals. 

Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 74-71 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Cincinnati is coming off of a series loss to the Cardinals, where they lost two out of three games. The Reds continue to struggle and they are dropping in the NL Wild Card standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.73 ERA, a 1.41 WHIP, and a .256 opponent batting average this year. The Reds offense has scored 686 runs with a .249 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Spencer Steer is batting .269 with 20 home runs and 78 RBI’s for the Reds. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Brandon Williamson, who is 4-4 with a 4.20 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 98.2 innings pitched this season.

Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 66-77 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Detroit is coming off of a series win against the White Sox, where they won two out of three games. The Tigers have won seven of their last ten games, but they are only 31-41 at home this year. The Detroit pitching staff has a 4.41 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 564 runs with a .235 batting average and a .302 on base percentage this season. Spencer Torkelson is batting .234 with 27 home runs and 78 RBI’s for the Tigers. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Joey Wentz, who is 2-11 with a 6.65 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP over 90.2 innings pitched this year. 

Detroit Tigers Team Facts

  • The Tigers have won each of their last six Tuesday night games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line each of their last six night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Tigers' last four games at Comerica Park.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games at Comerica Park against opponents that held a winning record.

Cincinnati Reds Team Facts

  • The Reds have lost each of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a home win.
  • The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Tuesday games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Reds have led after 7 innings in each of their last five road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Reds' last three games against American League opponents.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Andy Ibanez has hit at least one home run in each of his last two appearances with the Tigers as home underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Tigers' last five games against NL opponents at Comerica Park.
  • Andy Ibanez has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances at Comerica Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Javier Baez has recorded at least one total base in 13 of his 14 previous appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Andy Ibanez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Hunter Renfroe has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Spencer Steer has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Reds' last six games against AL opponents.
  • Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in seven of the Reds' last eight games against AL opponents.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded two or more hits in eight of his last nine appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one total base in each of the Reds' last seven road games against AL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Detroit Tigers ranks 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.377).
  • The Detroit Tigers ranks 28th in the league for batting average this season (.235).
  • The Cincinnati Reds ranks 28th in the league for home runs allowed this season (201).
  • The Cincinnati Reds ranks 27th in the league for walks allowed this season (544).

Pick

The Reds come into this series needing a series win in the worst way, while Detroit is getting some valuable playing time for their younger players. The Tigers have played well recently, but they have been one of the worst offensive teams all season long. Cincinnati has been a roller coaster this year, but they are right in the middle of that NL Wild Card race. The Reds are starting Brandon Williamson, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Tigers are starting Joey Wentz, who has allowed 13 earned runs in his last 14.1 innings of work. I like the Reds in this matchup. 

David’s Pick Reds ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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