Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction - MLB Picks 9/12/23

New York Mets (65-78) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (76-69)

Game Info: Tuesday, September 12, 2023 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)

Jose Butto (0-2) (3.86) vs Ryne Nelson (7-7) (5.30)

Betting Odds: New York Mets -105 / Arizona Diamondbacks -115 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Arizona Diamondbacks will play the New York Mets in Game 2 of their series on Tuesday night at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Arizona won the first game in this series by a score of 4-3 on Monday night and they are currently in the last NL Wild Card spot. 

Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 76-69 this season and they have won five of their last six games. Prior to this series, Arizona won three out of four games against the Cubs on the road. The Diamondbacks have allowed three runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.54 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average this season. The Diamondbacks offense has scored 673 runs with a .253 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Christian Walker is batting .264 with 30 home runs and 91 RBI’s for the Diamondbacks. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Ryne Nelson, who is 7-7 with a 5.30 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 130.2 innings pitched this year. 

Mets Preview

The New York Mets are 65-78 this year and they have lost four of their last five games. New York came into this series after losing two out of three games to the Twins on the road. The Mets have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The New York pitching staff has a 4.43 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .249 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 621 runs with a .237 batting average and a .317 on base percentage this year. Francisco Lindor is batting .250 with 26 home runs and 85 RBI’s for the Mets. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Jose Butto, who is 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP over 21 innings pitched this season.

New York Mets Team Facts

  • The road team has won each of the last five games between the Diamondbacks and Mets.
  • The Mets have covered the run line seven of their last eight home games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mets' last six home games against NL West opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks Team Facts

  • The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last six games against the Mets following a win.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line each of their last seven road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks' last three night games at Citi Field.
  • The Diamondbacks have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five Tuesday night road games.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Pete Alonso ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.527) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Mets ranks 26th in the league for batting average this season (.237).
  • The New York Mets ranks 26th in the league for walks allowed this season (534).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks ranks 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1130).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks ranks 22nd in the league for hits allowed this season (1236).

Pick

The Diamondbacks come into this game looking for a second straight win in the series, as they try to hold onto that last Wild Card spot in the NL. Arizona is 38-34 on the road this year, while New York is 35-34 at home. The Diamondbacks are starting Ryne Nelson, who has allowed 6 earned runs in two of his last three starts. The Mets are starting Jose Butto, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in his last three starts. Nelson has really struggled for Arizona in recent starts, so I am going to side with the Mets at home. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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