Rangers vs Blue Jays Prediction - MLB Picks 9/11/23

Toronto Blue Jays (80-63) vs Texas Rangers (78-64)

Game Info: Monday, September 11, 2023 at 7:07 pm (Rogers Centre)

Chris Bassitt (14-7) (3.69) vs Dane Dunning (9-6) (3.88)

Betting Odds: Toronto Blue Jays -142 / Texas Rangers +120 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MLB.tv Stream the MLB Game of the Day all season on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

The Texas Rangers will play the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 1 of their series on Monday night at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. This is a huge series in the AL Wild Card race, as Toronto is sitting in the second Wild Card spot, while Texas is 0.5 games out of the last Wild Card spot. 

Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers are 78-64 this season and they have lost seven of their last ten games. Texas is coming off of a series win against Oakland, where they won two out of three games. The Rangers have really struggled over the last month, as they have fallen from first in the AL West to currently out of the playoff picture. The Texas pitching staff has a 4.30 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average this season. The Rangers offense has scored 777 runs with a .266 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Marcus Semien is batting .281 with 24 home runs and 87 RBI’s for the Rangers. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Dane Dunning, who is 9-6 with a 3.88 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 146 innings pitched this year.

Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 80-63 this season and they have won six of their last seven games. Toronto is coming off of a series win against Kansas City, where they won all three games. The Blue Jays have scored 5+ runs in nine of their last ten games. The Toronto pitching staff has a 3.66 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 660 runs with a .260 batting average and a .333 on base percentage this year. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .267 with 21 home runs and 84 RBI’s for the Blue Jays. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Chris Bassitt, who is 14-7 with a 3.69 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 173.1 innings pitched this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Team Facts

  • The Blue Jays have won each of their last six night games against the Rangers at Rogers Centre following a win.
  • The home team has covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Rangers and Blue Jays.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Monday night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Blue Jays' last seven games as favorites.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 7 innings in each of their last five night games against the Rangers.

Texas Rangers Team Facts

  • The Rangers have lost nine of their last 10 night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rangers' last four road games against AL East opponents.
  • The Rangers have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Bo Bichette ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.313) this season.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Corey Seager ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.336) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Blue Jays ranks 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (579).
  • The Toronto Blue Jays are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
  • The Texas Rangers ranks 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.266).
  • The Texas Rangers ranks 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (777).

Pick

Toronto comes into this series looking to put even more distance between themselves and the Rangers, while Texas is trying to put the last month of baseball behind them and get the series win. Texas has played very poorly since August, but a series win here would go a long way for them. The Rangers are starting Dane Dunning, who has allowed 9, 3, 4, and 3 earned runs in his last four outings. The Blue Jays are starting Chris Bassitt, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. Toronto is 38-30 at home this year, while Texas is only 33-34 on the road. I like the Blue Jays to start the series off with a win here. 

David’s Pick Blue Jays ML

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
Previous Pick
Next Pick

Mitch's Take...

NFL & MLB Best Bets for Today Picks & Predictions Sunday 9/24/23 | 7 Picks in 5 Minutes

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss