Padres at Dodgers Prediction - MLB Picks 9/11/23

Los Angeles Dodgers (87-55) vs San Diego Padres (67-77)

Game Info: Monday, September 11, 2023 at 10:10 pm (Dodger Stadium)

Gavin Stone (1-0) (10.50) vs Pedro Avila (1-2) (2.19)

Betting Odds: Los Angeles Dodgers -180 / San Diego Padres +165 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the San Diego Padres for game one of their divisional series this Monday from Dodger Stadium.

Padres Preview & Projected Starter

San Diego moved to 67-77 after dropping two of three to Houston. The Padres were blitzed and thrown out of Texas with a ten-run defeat Sunday, and they’ll look to avenge that effort here in their home state The San Diego offense is scoring 4.31 runs per game, while batting .228, with a .317 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.76 ERA, with a 1.23 WHIP.

Pedro Avila (1-2, 2.19 ERA, 38 Ks) will get the call for San Diego. The fourth-year pitcher is coming off of his best outing of the season against Philly, tossing 6.2 scoreless frames en route to his first victory. Avila climbed a mountain to earn his first W, but he’ll now face another steep test here with the Dodgers on the road.

Padres Player Trends & Props

• Juan Soto has reached base in five of the last seven games, and he leads the Padres in home runs (24) and RBI (75), with 115 hits.

• Manny Machado went yard in the game one win, and he’s second in the team in homers (24) and RBI (74).

• Fernando Tatis is hitless through his last four games, so he may be due soon, and he’s posting of .264/20/65.

• Xander Bogaerts has collected a hit in six of the last ten games, and he leads the Pads in hits (121), while batting .265.

• Ha-Seong Kim doubled and homered in the game one victory, and he leads SD in batting (.282), with 17 homers and 49 RBI.

Dodgers Preview & Projected Starter

Los Angeles moved to 87-55 after taking two of three from Washington. The Dodgers avoided a third straight series loss by taking Sunday’s contests, and they’ll now look to build some momentum with the postseason looming next month. The Los Angeles offense is scoring 5.04 runs per game, while batting .248, with a .330 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.50 ERA, with a 1.28 WHIP.

Gavin Stone (1-0, 10.50 ERA, 10 Ks) is set to start for Los Angeles. The rookie pitcher reaped the benefits of run support in his return to the majors, allowing four runs thru six innings in Boston, but he managed to earn his first win of his career. Stone have just went down the minors and cleaned some things up, but he’s still allowed four runs or more in four of his five big league appearances.

Dodgers Player Trends & Props

• Mookie Betts leads LAD in home runs (38) and RBI (99). while batting an impressive .313.

• Freddie Freeman doubled in a run in series finale in Miami, and he leads the Dodgers in BA (.333) and hits (183), with 25 homers and 91 runs batted in.

• Max Muncy has recorded a hit in seven of the last ten games, and he’s totaled 32 home runs and 91 RBI for the season.

• Amed Rosario plated multiple runs in the game two win over the Marlins, and he’s batting .250, with 56 RBI for the season.

Corey’s Free Pick

Two young pitchers will face off on the heels of their first MLB victories respectively, and I think business will pick up for one or both of them tonite with these two lineups. Avila shutting out Philly is impressive any way you look at it, but he’ll now have to travel and face a somewhat slumping Dodgers team that needs to find consistent winning. Stone got lucky in Boston last week with the decision, and if the Padres bats come to play, they will almost certainly find some sort of production. Let’s back the Over for this divisional battle.