Marlins vs Phillies Prediction - MLB Picks 9/10/23

Philadelphia Phillies (78-63) vs Miami Marlins (73-69)

Game Info: Sunday, September 10, 2023 at 1:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Ranger Suarez (2-6) (3.91) vs Steven Okert (3-1) (3.44)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -112 / Miami Marlins -108 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Marlins will play the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Marlins won the first game in this series by a score of 3-2, but Philadelphia was able to answer with an 8-4 win on Saturday. 

Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins are 73-69 this season and they have won seven of their last nine games. The Marlins came into this series after winning two out of three games at home against the Dodgers. Miami is in the middle of the NL Wild Card race, but they are currently on the outside looking in. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average this season. The Marlins offense has scored 583 runs with a .259 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Luis Arraez is batting .349 with six home runs and 63 RBI’s for the Marlins. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Steven Okert, who is 3-1 with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 52.1 innings pitched this year. 

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 78-63 this season and they have won four of their last six games. The Phillies won two out of three games in San Diego prior to this series, and they are currently in the first NL Wild Card spot. Philadelphia has scored 5+ runs in eight of their last eleven games. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 688 runs with a .259 batting average and a .329 on base percentage this year. Kyle Schwarber is batting .196 with 42 home runs and 93 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Ranger Suarez, who is 2-6 with a 3.91 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 101.1 innings pitched this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts

  • The Phillies have won seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against the Marlins at Citizens Bank Park following a win.
  • The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games.
  • The Phillies have led after 7 innings in each of their last four day games against National League opponents.
  • The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Team Facts

  • The Marlins have won five of their last six road games.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park following a loss.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games at Citizens Bank Park against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games against National League opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Trea Turner has hit at least one home run in four of the Phillies' last five games at Citizens Bank Park.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one RBI in 10 of his last 11 appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Ranger Suarez has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances at Citizens Bank Park.
  • Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies' last seven games at Citizens Bank Park.
  • Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one total base in each of the Phillies' last eight games against NL opponents at Citizens Bank Park.
  • Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies' last 11 games at Citizens Bank Park.
  • Bryce Harper ranks 9th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.390) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit a home run in each of the Marlins' last two day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Garrett Hampson has recorded an RBI in three of his last four road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Marlins' last four day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Luis Arraez has scored at least one run in five of the Marlins' last six road games.
  • Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one hit in 11 of his last 12 road appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Luis Arraez ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.391) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 6th in the league for doubles this season (263).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 6th in the league for triples this season (26).
  • The Miami Marlins ranks 27th in the league for RBI's this season (554).
  • The Miami Marlins ranks 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1116).

Pick

The Marlins come into this game looking for a huge win, as they try to make up ground in that NL Wild Card race, while Philadelphia is pretty comfortable in their Wild Card spot. The Phillies have been very good at home this season, going 42-27 at Citizens Bank Park. Philadelphia is starting Ranger Suarez, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. Miami is starting Steven Okert, who will operate as an opener. I am going to take the Phillies in this game behind another solid start from Suarez. 

David’s Pick Phillies ML

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