Orioles at Red Sox Prediction - MLB Picks 9/9/23

Boston Red Sox (72-69) vs Baltimore Orioles (89-51)

Game Info: Saturday, September 9, 2023 at 4:10 pm (Fenway Park)

Chris Sale (6-3) (4.46) vs Jack Flaherty (8-8) (4.84)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -145 / Baltimore Orioles +133 --- Over/Under: 10 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Boston Red Sox will host the Baltimore Orioles for game two of their divisional series this Saturday from Fenway Park.

Orioles Preview & Projected Starter 

Baltimore comes in at 89-51 after beating Boston. The Orioles had their way in the second half of game one, and they’ll look to double down here Saturday. The Baltimore offense is scoring 4.95 runs per game, while batting .252, with a .329 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.09 ERA, with a 1.29 WHIP.  

Jack Flaherty (8-8, 4.84 ERA, 135 Ks) will get the ball for Baltimore. The seventh-year pitcher struggled in the desert last time out, allowing four runs to the Cardinals in 4.2 innings pitched.  Flaherty's time with Baltimore has been rough since a strong debut, and he’ll face another stiff test here at Fenway.    

Orioles Player Trends & Props

Adley Rutschmann has produced a run in three straight games, and he leads Baltimore in hits (139), with splits of .275/17/67. 

Ryan Mountcastle has multiple hits in both wins over LAA, and he’s posting an identical line of .278/18/67.

Anthony Santander has recorded a hit in nine of the last ten games, and he leads O’s in home runs (26) and RBI (79)

Gunnar Henderson has totaled multiple bases in six of the previous eight games, and he’s totaled 22 homers and 65 RBI for the season. 

Austin Hays has collected a hit in four of the last five games, and he leads the Orioles in batting (.281), while tallying 54 RBI.


Red Sox Preview & Projected Starter

Boston moved to 72-69 after falling to Baltimore. The Red Sox were bullied by the Orioles last night, and they’ll look to get back into the win column Saturday. The Boston offense is 4.18 scoring runs per game, while batting .264, with a .331 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.89 ERA, with a 1.34 WHIP. 

Chris Sale (6-3, 4.46 ERA, 101 Ks) will get the ball for Boston. The longtime Sox pitcher has been sharp this month, and he earned his fourth victory of the season in San Diego on Sunday, striking out eight over seven innings of work, while allowing just two runs. Sale has pitched four straight quality starts, and it looks like he’s put the slow start to 2023 behind him. Sale has cleared eight or more strikeouts in each of his last three outings. 

Red Sox Player Trends & Props

Rafael Devers is first on the team in HR (29) and RBI (89). 

Justin Turner has produced a run in seven of the previous ten games, and he’s posting strong splits of .287/22/87, with 133 hits. 

Masataka Yoshida had three hits in the game one defeat, and he leads the Sox in hits (134), with splits of .295/13/62. 

Corey’s Free Pick

No, you aren’t overthinking here. At this point in the season, Baltimore at this value is absolutely worth it, even with the alleged pitching advantage for Boston. The Orioles have the bats to combat any pitching matchup, and it’s not like Chris Sale has been a lockdown arm this season. The O’s have a real shot to win a pennant and more this season, and they’re worth the profitable shot here. Roll the dice with Baltimore for this divisional battle, and give the Over a look again with the talent on both sides.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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