Marlins at Phillies Prediction - MLB Picks 9/9/23

Philadelphia Phillies (77-63) vs Miami Marlins (73-68)

Game Info: Saturday, September 9, 2023 at 6:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Aaron Nola (12-9) (4.55) vs Johnny Cueto (1-3) (5.54)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -180 / Miami Marlins +165 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Philadelphia Phillies will host the Miami Marlins for game one of their divisional series this Friday from Citizens Bank Park.

Marlins Preview & Projected Starter

Miami moved to 73-68 after defeating Philadelphia. The Marlins edged out a game one victory, and they’ll look to take control of the series Saturday. The Miami offense is scoring 4.02 runs per game, while batting .260, with a .321 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.10 ERA, with a 1.27 WHIP. 

Johnny Cueto (1-3, 5.50 ERA, 30 Ks) will take the mound for Miami. The veteran pitcher managed to go six innings against Detroit last week, but he took the loss after allowing four runs. Cueto’s been solid through three starts in the second portion of the season, and he’ll look to hold a spot within the rotation for the remainder of the season. 

Marlins Player Trends & Props

Luis Arraez has collected a hit in nine of the last ten games, and he’s leading the majors in batting (.353) and hits (185), with 63 RBI. 

Jake Burger has recorded a hit in six of the previous eight games, and he’s batting .306 with the Marlins, while tallying 31 home runs and 68 RBI for the season.

Bryan De La Cruz has produced a run in five of the last seven games, and he’s second on the team in both homers (18) and 71 runs batted in.

 

Phillies Preview & Projected Starter

Philadelphia moved to 77-63 after losing to Miami. The Phillies had the rare stall at home offensively, and they’ll look to turn things around in game two. The Philly offense is scoring 4.13 runs per game, while batting .254, with a .322 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.98 ERA, with a 1.25 WHIP. 

Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.55 ERA, 179 Ks) will take the mound for Philadelphia. The ninth-year pitcher felt the benefits of run support last week in Toronto, as he gave up four runs in five innings, but still managed to pin his tenth win of the season. Nola’s been a hit-or-miss pitcher since the pandemic season, and nothing’s changed here in 2023 from a consistency standpoint. Nola has allowed four runs or more in three of his last four starts, but he’ll have a manageable matchup here against the Giants at home. 

Phillies Player Trends & Props 

Bryce Harper has produced a run in eight of the last ten games, and he’s posting splits of .305/15/55.?

Bryson Stott has collected a hit in seven of the last ten games, and he’s posting a team-lead in hits (144), while batting .293, with 55 RBI.

Nick Castellanos has recorded a hit in seven of the previous ten games, and he’s posting a line of .275/22/83.

Kyle Schwarber has homered in six of the last ten games, and he’s among league leaders in homers (38), while leading the Phils in RBI (86).

Alex Bohm has scored a run in six of the previous seven games, and he’s third on the team in RBI (82), while hitting .279.

Corey’s Free Pick

Philadelphia should definitely get back into the column today, as they’ll have the opportunity to tee off against Johnny Cueto. The veteran pitcher won’t roll over, but the Phillies may be a bit more aggressive after dropping last night’s contest. Now, although I believe Philly wins this game, I like the Over a bit more here, as it’ll provide added security. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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