Mets vs Twins Prediction - MLB Picks 9/8/23

Minnesota Twins (73-67) vs New York Mets (64-75)

Game Info: Friday, September 8, 2023 at 8:10 pm (Target Field)

Dallas Keuchel (1-1) (5.06) vs Kodai Senga (10-7) (3.08)

Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins -109 / New York Mets -109 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New York Mets and Minnesota Twins face off on Friday in an MLB showdown at Target Field.

Mets Try to Play Spoiler

The Mets don’t have a whole lot left to play for but they could try to play spoiler in this series against the Twins. The Mets are coming off a series victory over the Washington Nationals but they are coming off a loss in the last game. The Mets scored only two runs and that led to the one run defeat. Two game ago the Mets scored 11 runs and they need to get the offense going here. The Mets are averaging 4.39 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.62 runs per game. The offense is ranked 20th while the pitching is ranked 18th. Kodai Senga sits with an ERA of 3.08 and a 10-7 record.

Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have lost each of their last seven road games against American League opponents.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road games against American League opponents.
The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mets' last three games.
The Mets have lost the first inning in five of their last seven games as road favorites against American League opponents.

Twins Try to Close Out American League Central

The Twins were able to win two of three games against the Cleveland Guardians and now they are in a great spot to win the division. In the two wins against the Cleveland Guardians, the Twins were able to score 28 runs on the way to the two victories. The Twins are averaging 4.65 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.16 runs per game. The offense is ranked 14th in the league while the pitching is ranked 6th. On the mound for the Twins is Dallas Keuchel and he sits with a 1-1 record and an ERA of 5.06.

Twins Betting Trends

The Twins have lost each of their last eight Friday games against NL East opponents.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line eight of their last nine home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Twins' last five home games.

Mets vs Twins Facts

The Minnesota Twins ranks 4th in the league for walks this season (494).
The Minnesota Twins ranks 4th in the league for walks allowed this season (393).
The New York Mets ranks 26th in the league for walks allowed this season (517).
The New York Mets ranks 24th in the league for batting average this season (.239).

Shane’s Free Pick

There are better games on the board to bet, but I believe their is value with the Mets. Keuchel has been inconsistent and it’s been hard to figure out when he will be good, or when he will be bad. Keuchel’s last start came against the Texas Rangers and he went 3.1 innings giving up five hits and five runs. The Mets are going to get the offense going against Keuchel and that will be the difference as the Mets are going to get the job done. Back the Mets on the money line to cash.