Mariners vs Rays Prediction - MLB Picks 9/8/23

Tampa Bay Rays (85-56) vs Seattle Mariners (79-61)

Game Info: Friday, September 8, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Tropicana Field)

Taj Bradley (5-7) (5.42) vs George Kirby (10-9) (3.39)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Rays -105 / Seattle Mariners -115 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Seattle Mariners will play the Tampa Bay Rays in Game 2 of their series on Friday night at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Seattle won Game 1 in this series by a score of 1-0 on Thursday, which brought them within a half game of the Astros in the AL West. 

Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 79-61 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Prior to winning the first game in this series, Seattle lost two out of three games in Cincinnati. The Mariners have allowed 6+ runs in four of their last six games. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average this season. The Mariners offense has scored 670 runs with a .244 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Julio Rodriguez is batting .280 with 27 home runs and 93 RBI’s for the Mariners. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is George Kirby, who is 10-9 with a 3.39 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 159.1 innings pitched this year. 

Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 85-56 this season and they have won two of their last three games. Prior to this series, Tampa Bay won two out of three games against the Red Sox at home. The Rays have scored three runs or fewer in three of their last four games. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average. The Rays offense has scored 746 runs with a .258 batting average and a .331 on base percentage this year. Yandy Diaz is batting .317 with 18 home runs and 67 RBI’s for the Rays. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Taj Bradley, who is 5-7 with a 5.42 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 79.2 innings pitched this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Team Facts

  • The Rays have won each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents following a home loss.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in 13 of the last 14 games between the Mariners and Rays at Tropicana Field.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rays' last five games as home underdogs.
  • The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Friday night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Seattle Mariners Team Facts

  • The Mariners have won each of their last nine night games against American League opponents following a road win.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in 13 of the Mariners' last 14 games at Tropicana Field.
  • The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mariners' last three games as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Yandy Diaz ranks 7th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.397) this season.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • J.P. Crawford ranks 10th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.386) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tampa Bay Rays ranks 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (559).
  • The Tampa Bay Rays ranks 2nd in the league for steals this season (151).
  • The Seattle Mariners ranks 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1388).
  • The Seattle Mariners ranks 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (564).

Pick

The Mariners come into this game right on the heels of the Astros for the lead in the AL West, while Tampa Bay is now four games behind Baltimore in the AL East. Tampa Bay is starting Taj Bradley, who has allowed 1, 5, 3, 2, and 4 earned runs in his last five starts. Seattle is starting George Kirby, who has allowed 3, 3, and 4 earned runs in his last three outings. Bradley has not been good for the Rays this season, so I am taking the Mariners to get the win in this matchup. 

David’s Pick Mariners ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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