Cardinals vs Reds Prediction - MLB Picks 9/8/23

Cincinnati Reds (73-69) vs St. Louis Cardinals (61-79)

Game Info: Friday, September 8, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Andrew Abbott (8-4) (3.22) vs Drew Rom (0-2) (7.24)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -120 / St. Louis Cardinals +100 --- Over/Under: 10.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The St. Louis Cardinals will play the Cincinnati Reds in Game 1 of their series on Friday night at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Cincinnati is coming off of a very nice series win against Seattle, while St. Louis took two out of three from Atlanta on the road. 

Cardinals Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 61-79 this season and they have won three of their last four games. St. Louis is coming off of a series win against the Braves, where they won two out of three games on the road. The Cardinals have scored 38 runs in their last five games. The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.75 ERA, a 1.45 WHIP, and a .276 opponent batting average this year. The Cardinals offense has scored 641 runs with a .254 batting average and a .329 on base percentage. Nolan Arenado is batting .270 with 26 home runs and 87 RBI’s for the Cardinals. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Drew Rom, who is 0-2 with a 7.24 ERA and a 1.90 WHIP over 13.2 innings pitched this season.

Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 73-69 this season and they have won four of their last six games. Cincinnati is coming off of a series win against Seattle, where they took two of three at home. The Reds are currently 0.5 games out of a NL Wild Card spot, so each game in this series is very important. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.74 ERA, a 1.41 WHIP, and a .257 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 672 runs with a .248 batting average and a .325 on base percentage this season. Spencer Steer is batting .267 with 20 home runs and 77 RBI’s for the Reds. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Andrew Abbott, who is 8-4 with a 3.22 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 95 innings pitched this year. 

Cincinnati Reds Team Facts

  • The Reds have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as home favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Reds have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last eight night games against National League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Reds' last four home games.

St. Louis Cardinals Team Facts

  • The Cardinals have won each of their last eight games against the Reds following a road loss.
  • The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against the Reds following a road loss.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Cardinals' last five games as underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Cardinals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Friday night games.
  • The Cardinals have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last six Friday night road games.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Harrison Bader has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Reds' last seven night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Hunter Renfroe has recorded two total bases in four of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Cardinals.
  • Spencer Steer has scored at least one run in each of the Reds' last four home games against the Cardinals.
  • Hunter Renfroe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite against the Cardinals.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

  • Willson Contreras has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances in night games.
  • Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Cardinals' last five night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Tommy Edman has recorded two total bases in each of the Cardinals' last four games as road underdogs.
  • Paul Goldschmidt has scored at least one run in each of the Cardinals' last four games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • Paul Goldschmidt has recorded two or more hits in each of the Cardinals' last five Friday night games at Great American Ball Park.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cincinnati Reds ranks 28th in the league for home runs allowed this season (199).
  • The Cincinnati Reds ranks 27th in the league for walks allowed this season (530).
  • The St. Louis Cardinals ranks 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (1338).
  • The St. Louis Cardinals ranks 28th in the league for strikeouts this season (1060).

Pick

Both of these teams are coming off of very impressive series wins, which should set us up for an entertaining series here. The Cardinals have had a really tough season, but they have to be feeling good after taking two of three from Atlanta. The Cardinals are starting Drew Rom, who has allowed 11 earned runs in his last 13.2 innings pitched. The Reds are starting Andrew Abbott, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight outings. The Reds need this game very badly and Abbott will deliver for them. Take Cincinnati here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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