Mariners vs Rays Prediction - MLB Picks 9/7/23

Tampa Bay Rays (84-55) vs Seattle Mariners (77-61)

Game Info: Thursday, September 7, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Tropicana Field)

Zack Littell (3-4) (4.69) vs Luis Castillo (11-7) (3.24)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Rays +113 / Seattle Mariners -133 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Seattle Mariners and Tampa Bay Rays face off on Thursday in an MLB showdown at Tropicana Field. 

Littell Needs To Bounce Back

Zack Littell is going to be on the mound for the Rays and he has really struggled this season. In his last start against the Guardians he went 4.2 innings giving up nine hits and four runs. In each of his last three starts, he has given up four runs. The Rays are averaging 5.35 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.08 runs per game. The offense is ranked 4th in the league while the pitching is ranked 1st. 

Rays Betting Trends

  • The Rays have won six of their last seven games as home underdogs against AL West opponents following a home win.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in 12 of the last 13 games between the Mariners and Rays at Tropicana Field.
  • The Rays have led after 7 innings in each of their last four Thursday games as underdogs.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rays' last four games as home underdogs.
  • The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Thursday night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Every Win is Crucial for Mariners

The Mariners are trying to win the American League West and every win is crucial for htem at this point of the season. The Mariners are averaging 4.79 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.06 runs per game. The offense is ranked 10th but most impressive this season has been the pitching that is ranked 2nd. On the mound for the Mariners is Luis Castillo who sits with an 11-7 record and an ERA of 3.19. In his last start he struggled but the previous two starts he was good. 

Mariners Betting Trends

  • The Mariners have won each of their last eight night games against American League opponents following a road win.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line each of their last 12 games at Tropicana Field against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mariners have led after 7 innings in each of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mariners' last four games.

Rays vs. Mariners Facts

  • The Tampa Bay Rays ranks 2nd in the league for steals this season (149).
  • The Tampa Bay Rays are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
  • The Seattle Mariners ranks 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.72).
  • The Seattle Mariners ranks 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (564).

Shane’s Free Pick

The Mariners are going to get the job done here. Castillo has been good this season and he’s going to be the person that bounce backs here. The Rays offense is going to only score a max of two runs off of Castillo and that is going to be the difference here as Seattle is going to get the job done. The Mariners are going to score at least four runs off of Littell and that will be the difference here. Back the Mariners on the run line. 

Shane’s Pick Mariners -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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