Cardinals vs Braves Prediction - MLB Picks 9/7/23

Atlanta Braves (90-48) vs St. Louis Cardinals (61-78)

Game Info: Thursday, September 7, 2023 at 7:20 pm (Truist Park)

Max Fried (6-1) (2.52) vs Adam Wainwright (3-10) (8.10)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -298 / St. Louis Cardinals +240 --- Over/Under: 10.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The St. Louis Cardinals will play the Atlanta Braves in Game 3 of their series on Thursday night at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. The Cardinals have won the first two games in this series by scores of 10-6 and 11-6. St. Louis has surprised everyone in this series and they will go for the sweep in this matchup.

Cardinals Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 61-78 this season and they have won three games in a row. St. Louis has played better over the last week and they are 5-2 in their last seven games. The Cardinals have scored 6+ runs in four straight games and will look to sweep the Braves on the road here. The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.72 ERA, a 1.45 WHIP, and a .276 opponent batting average this year. The Cardinals offense has scored 636 runs with a .254 batting average and a .328 on base percentage. Paul Goldschmidt is batting .277 with 23 home runs and 73 RBI’s for the Cardinals. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Adam Wainwright, who is 3-10 with an 8.10 ERA and a 1.98 WHIP over 83.1 innings pitched this season.

Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 90-48 this season and they have lost three games in a row. Atlanta has struggled in their last three games, but they did win 10 of the previous 11 games and are one of the best teams in all of baseball. Atlanta is 44-24 at home this year, so it is weird to see them facing a potential sweep in this game. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 801 runs with a .275 batting average and a .344 on base percentage this season. Ronald Acuna is batting .330 with 32 home runs and 86 RBI’s for the Braves. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Max Fried, who is 6-1 with a 2.52 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 60.2 innings pitched this year. 

Atlanta Braves Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Cardinals and Braves.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line seven of their last eight games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Braves have trailed after 7 innings in five of their last seven games as home favorites against National League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Braves' last four games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last six games as home favorites against National League opponents.

St. Louis Cardinals Team Facts

  • The Cardinals have won each of their last four games as underdogs.
  • The Cardinals have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs following a road win.
  • The Cardinals have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against National League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Cardinals' last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against National League opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Austin Riley has hit a home run in four of the Braves' last five games against the Cardinals.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves' last 10 night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Braves as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Braves' last 10 night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Austin Riley has scored at least one run in each of the Braves' last eight games against NL Central opponents at Truist Park.
  • Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves' last 10 night games.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks 1st in the league in Steals (63) this season.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

  • Tyler O'Neill has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances.
  • Tyler O'Neill has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances with the Cardinals as underdogs against the Braves.
  • Willson Contreras has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Adam Wainwright has recorded three or more strikeouts in 25 of his last 27 appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Paul Goldschmidt has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Cardinals' last four games against the Braves at Truist Park.
  • Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals' last 11 games as underdogs against the Braves.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Atlanta Braves ranks 1st in the league for home runs this season (265).
  • The Atlanta Braves ranks 1st in the league for RBI's this season (774).
  • The St. Louis Cardinals ranks 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (1328).
  • The St. Louis Cardinals ranks 28th in the league for strikeouts this season (1054).

Pick

The Cardinals find themselves in an unexpected spot in this game, as they look to sweep the Braves in Atlanta. The Cardinals haven’t found a ton of success this season, but they have played well in their last seven games. St. Louis is starting Adam Wainwright, who has allowed 1, 6, 3, 8, and 7 earned runs in his last five starts. Atlanta is starting Max Fried, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. I don’t think the Cardinals are going to sweep Atlanta in this matchup, especially with a struggling Wainwright on the mound. Take the Braves -1.5 in this game. 

David’s Pick Braves -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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