Twins vs Guardians Prediction - MLB Picks 9/5/23

Cleveland Guardians (66-72) vs Minnesota Twins (72-66)

Game Info: Tuesday, September 5, 2023 at 6:10 pm (Progressive Field)

Tanner Bibee (10-3) (3.03) vs Sonny Gray (7-6) (2.92)

Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians -102 / Minnesota Twins -118 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Minnesota Twins will play the Cleveland Guardians in Game 2 of their series on Tuesday night at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Minnesota won the first game in this series by a score of 20-6 and they were able to extend their lead in the AL Central to six games. 

Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 72-66 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Prior to putting up a 20 spot on the Guardians, Minnesota won two out of three games in Texas. The Twins have scored 5+ runs in four straight games and they will look to continue to pull away in the AL Central here. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average this year. The Twins offense has scored 642 runs with a .242 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Carlos Correa is batting .230 with 17 home runs and 61 RBI’s for the Twins. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Sonny Gray, who is 7-6 with a 2.92 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 157 innings pitched this season.

Guardians Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 66-72 this season and they have won four of their last six games. Cleveland came into this series after winning two out of three games against Tampa Bay at home. The Guardians have allowed 6+ runs in three straight games. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average this season. The Guardians offense has scored 563 runs with a .249 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .272 with 21 home runs and 72 RBI’s for the Guardians. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Tanner Bibee, who is 10-3 with a 3.03 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 124.2 innings pitched this year. 

Cleveland Guardians Team Facts

  • The Guardians have won three of their last four games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against the Twins at Progressive Field following a loss.
  • The Guardians have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four night games at Progressive Field against AL Central opponents.
  • The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four night games at Progressive Field against AL Central opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Guardians' last three games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins Team Facts

  • The Twins have lost six of their last eight games as road favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last six road games after playing the previous day.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Twins' last three road games.
  • The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last nine games as road favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Twins have trailed after 7 innings in six of their last eight games as road favorites against American League opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Kole Calhoun has hit at least one home run in seven of his last 22 appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
  • Will Brennan has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Guardians' last six night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Andres Gimenez has scored a run in each of the Guardians' last four games against the Twins.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded two or more total bases in four of his last five home appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one hit in 20 of his last 21 appearances against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Joey Gallo has hit at least one home run in each of his last two appearances with the Twins as road favorites.
  • Jorge Polanco has recorded two or more RBIs in four of the Twins' last five games against AL Central opponents.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded two or more total bases in five of his last six road appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Sonny Gray has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six Tuesday appearances in night games.
  • Jorge Polanco has scored at least one run in each of the Twins' last four road games.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances after playing the previous day.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cleveland Guardians ranks 28th in the league for RBI's this season (526).
  • The Cleveland Guardians ranks 4th in the league for triples this season (27).
  • The Minnesota Twins ranks T4th in the league for home runs this season (198).
  • The Minnesota Twins ranks T4th in the league for walks allowed this season (389).

Pick

The Twins dominated Game 1 in this series and it is going to be tough for Cleveland to bounce back here. Cleveland needs to figure out a way to win this series, or their chances in the AL Central are pretty much gone. The Guardians are starting Tanner Bibee, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Twins are starting Sonny Gray, who has allowed one earned run in his last 14 innings of work. Both of these starting pitchers have been excellent and I don’t see why that would change here. Take the under in this game. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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