Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction - MLB Picks 9/5/23

Arizona Diamondbacks (70-67) vs Colorado Rockies (50-86)

Game Info: Tuesday, September 5, 2023 at 9:40 pm (Chase Field)

Brandon Pfaadt (1-7) (6.21) vs Kyle Freeland (5-14) (5.18)

Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks -215 / Colorado Rockies +194 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Colorado Rockies and Arizona Diamondbacks face off on Tuesday in an MLB showdown at Chase Field. On Monday it was the Diamondbacks that were able to secure the 4-2 victory. 

Kyle Freeland Has Been Awful

On the mound for the Rockies will be Kyle Freeland and he sits with a 5-14 record and an ERA of 5.18. In his last start against the Braves he went 5.2 innings giving up eight hits and seven runs. He gave up three home runs and he’s going to need to be better here with this pitching. The Rockies are averaging 4.41 runs while their pitching is giving up 5.89 runs per game. The offense is ranked 18th while the pitching is ranked 30th. 

Rockies Betting Trends

  • The Rockies have lost 15 of their last 16 road games against NL West opponents.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rockies' last three road games.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against National League opponents.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Why is Pfaadt Still Starting?

On the mound for the Diamondbacks will be Brandon Pfaadt who sits with a 7-7 record and n ERA of 6.21. In his last start against the Dodgers he went four innings giving up eight hits and six runs. Pfaadt really doesn’t give the team much and it’s shocking that he’s still starting. The Diamondbacks are averaging 4.66 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.83 runs per game. The offense is ranked 133th in the league while the pitching is ranked 22nd. 

Diamondbacks Betting Trends

  • The Diamondbacks have won each of their last seven home games against NL West opponents following a win.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against the Rockies.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against National League opponents.

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Facts

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks ranks 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1077).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks ranks 23rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.255).
  • The Colorado Rockies ranks 30th in the league for hits allowed this season (1340).
  • The Colorado Rockies ranks 30th in the league for runs allowed this season (807).

Shane’s Free Pick

This game could have 20 runs scored and it wouldn’t be all that shocking. Freeland has been awful all season and Pfaadt hasn’t been any better. Once these two starters leave there will be at least 10 runs on the board. The relievers will be giving up runs also and this game will go over the total. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB First 5 Inning Picks & Predictions Saturday 6/15/24 | Picks for Every Game Today

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