Astros vs Rangers Prediction - MLB Picks 9/5/23

Texas Rangers (76-60) vs Houston Astros (77-61)

Game Info: Tuesday, September 5, 2023 at 8:05 pm (Globe Life Field)

Dane Dunning (9-6) (3.45) vs Framber Valdez (10-9) (3.38)

Betting Odds: Texas Rangers / Houston Astros --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Houston Astros and Texas Rangers face off on Tuesday in an MLB showdown at Globe Life Field. On Monday it was the Astros offense that secured the 13-6 victory. 

Astros Offense on Fire

The Astros offense is on fire heading into this game and on Monday they scored 13 runs on the way to the victory. The Astros didn’t score the first three runs until the 4th inning but then they started to pile it on. Jose Altuve hit two home runs and drove in four RBIs. The Astros are averaging 5.06 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.38 runs per game. The offense is ranked 5th in the league while the pitching is ranked 12th. On the mound for the Astros will be Framber Valdez who sits with a 10-9 record and an ERA of 3.38. 

Astros Betting Trends

  • The underdogs have won each of the Astros' last four games.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against the Rangers following a win.
  • The Astros have led after 7 innings in each of their last seven road games against American League opponents.
  • The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games against AL West opponents.
  • The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Tuesday games as road favorites.

Eovaldi Returns for Rangers

Nathan Eovaldi is going to make his first start since he was injured back on July 18th. In that start he gave up zero runs in six innings. It’s unclear how many pitches he will be allowed to throw here. But the Rangers need him to be good here. The Rangers are averaging 5.53 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.36 runs per game. The offense is ranked 3rd in the league while the pitching is ranked 13th. In this game the Rangers are going to need the pitching to be good. 

Rangers Betting Trends

  • The Rangers have lost each of their last 11 games as home underdogs against AL West opponents following a home loss.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games at Globe Life Field.
  • The Rangers have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four home night games.
  • The Rangers have won the first inning in each of their last three home games against American League opponents.
  • The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against American League opponents.

Astros vs Rangers Facts

  • The Texas Rangers ranks 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.267).
  • The Texas Rangers ranks 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (758).
  • The Houston Astros ranks 5th in the league for runs scored this season (703).
  • The Houston Astros ranks 5th in the league for hits this season (1231).

Shane’s Free Pick

Monday’s game was high scoring, but this game is going to be a little different. Even though Eovaldi is coming off an injury, I expect he’s going to lockdown here. Valdez is also going to have another strong start, and the Rangers bats are going to really struggle to get going here. Back the under to cash here. 

Shane’s Pick Under

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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