Phillies vs Padres Prediction - MLB Picks 9/4/23

San Diego Padres (65-73) vs Philadelphia Phillies (75-61)

Game Info: Monday, September 4, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Petco Park)

Rich Hill (7-13) (5.32) vs Taijuan Walker (14-5) (4.11)

Betting Odds: San Diego Padres +100 / Philadelphia Phillies -110 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The San Diego Padres will host the Philadelphia Phillies for game one of their three-game set this Monday from Petco Park.

Phillies Preview & Projected Starter

Philadelphia moved to 74-60 after losing to Milwaukee. The Phillies nearly stole game one before a rally from the Brew Crew, and they’ll look to avoid a third straight loss Saturday. The Philly offense is scoring 4.13 runs per game, while batting .254, with a .322 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.98 ERA, with a 1.25 WHIP. 

Taijuan Walker (14-3, 4.02 ERA, 85 Ks) will get the call for Philadelphia in game one. The eighth-year pitcher closed the first half of the season by earning a win in Tampa, after striking out eight over seven innings pitched. Walker has stepped things up since a June 1st loss in Queens to his former squad and divisional foe New York, winning six consecutiv starts, while allowing more than one run only once during that span. 

Phillies Player Trends & Props 

Bryce Harper has produced a run in eight of the last ten games, and he’s posting splits of .305/15/55.?

Bryson Stott has collected a hit in seven of the last ten games, and he’s posting a team-lead in hits (144), while batting .293, with 55 RBI.

Nick Castellanos has recorded a hit in seven of the previous ten games, and he’s posting a line of .275/22/83.

Kyle Schwarber has homered in six of the last ten games, and he’s among league leaders in homers (38), while leading the Phils in RBI (86).

Alex Bohm has scored a run in six of the previous seven games, and he’s third on the team in RBI (82), while hitting .279.

Padres Preview & Projected Starter 

San Diego moved to 60-67 after falling to Miami. The Padres were silenced on their home field last night, and they’ll look for better results here in game three. The San Diego offense is scoring 4.31 runs per game, while batting .228, with a .317 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.76 ERA, with a 1.23 WHIP. 

Rich Hill (7-13, 5.18 ERA, 115 Ks) will get the call for San Diego. The veteran lefty managed to go five innings last week against Arizona, but he suffered another defeat after allowing three earned runs. You know what you’re going to get from Hill at this point, and runs surrendered likely come with that. Hill has yet to earn a victory with the Pads, and he’ll attempt to change that Tuesday.

Padres Player Trends & Props

Juan Soto has reached base in five of the last seven games, and he leads the Padres in home runs (24) and RBI (75), with 115 hits.

Manny Machado went yard in the game one win, and he’s second in the team in homers (24) and RBI (74). 

Fernando Tatis is hitless through his last four games, so he may be due soon, and he’s posting of .264/20/65. 

Xander Bogaerts has collected a hit in six of the last ten games, and he leads the Pads in hits (121), while batting .265.   

Ha-Seong Kim doubled and homered in the game one victory, and he leads SD in batting (.282), with 17 homers and 49 RBI.

Corey’s Free Pick

Two of the top lineups in the league will clash this week, and we could be in for some fireworks early with Rich Hill and Taijuan Walker set to. Hill facing this Philly lineup sounds like trouble even at home, while Walker has pitched noticeably worse on the road. I like targeting the total for this contest, so let’s back the Over this Monday,

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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