Milwaukee Brewers (76-59) vs Philadelphia Phillies (74-61)
Game Info: Sunday, September 3, 2023 at 1:05 pm (American Family Field)
Wade Miley (7-3) (3.17) vs Ranger Suarez (2-6) (3.88)
Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -112 / Philadelphia Phillies -108 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Philadelphia Phillies will play the Milwaukee Brewers in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Milwaukee has won the first two games in this series by a score of 7-5 in each game and they continue to keep a nice lead in the NL Central over the Cubs and Reds.
Phillies Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 74-61 this season and they have lost three games in a row. Philadelphia came into this series with some momentum, after they won two out of three against the Angels and swept the Cardinals, but they haven’t had much luck in Milwaukee. The Phillies have allowed 7+ runs in four straight games. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 660 runs with a .259 batting average and a .328 on base percentage this season. Nick Castellanos is batting .274 with 22 home runs and 84 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Ranger Suarez, who is 2-6 with a 3.88 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 97.1 innings pitched this year.
Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 76-59 this season and they have won 11 of their last 13 games. Milwaukee has a nice lead in the NL Central and they have been one of the hottest teams in baseball over the last few weeks. The Brewers have scored 6+ runs in 10 of their last 13 games. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average this year. The Brewers offense has scored 596 runs with a .236 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. William Contreras is batting .283 with 14 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Brewers. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Wade Miley, who is 7-3 with a 3.17 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 93.2 innings pitched this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts
- The Brewers have won each of their last eight home games.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in each of their last four games.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 7 innings in each of their last four games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts
- The Phillies have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Phillies have won the first inning in each of their last three games against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Phillies have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Willy Adames has hit a home run in three of the Brewers' last four games at American Family Field against opponents that held a winning record.
- Tyrone Taylor has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Brewers' last five games at American Family Field against opponents that held a winning record.
- William Contreras has scored at least one run in each of the Brewers' last 11 games at American Family Field.
- Wade Miley has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against the Phillies.
- Carlos Santana has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against the Phillies after playing the previous day.
- Carlos Santana has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Trea Turner has hit at least one home run in each of the Phillies' last five games.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies' last seven games as favorites.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded eight strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Phillies as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Kyle Schwarber has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies' last eight games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Phillies' last eight games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies' last 13 games.
- Bryce Harper ranks 9th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.395) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 28th in the league for hits this season (1057).
- The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.379).
- The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 5th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.439).
- The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 5th in the league for walks allowed this season (385).
Pick
The Brewers will look to stay hot with a sweep in this series, while Philadelphia is trying to stop their mini losing streak. Milwaukee has won four of the five games in their season series with Philadelphia, including four straight games. The Brewers are starting Wade Miley, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight outings. The Phillies are starting Ranger Suarez, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. I think we are going to see a lower scoring game in this matchup and I like the under here.
David’s Pick Under 8.5
AUTHOR: David Racey
Mitch's Take...
