Mariners vs Mets Prediction - MLB Picks 9/3/23

New York Mets (62-74) vs Seattle Mariners (77-58)

Game Info: Sunday, September 3, 2023 at 1:40 pm (Citi Field)

Tylor Megill (7-7) (5.29) vs George Kirby (10-8) (3.28)

Betting Odds: New York Mets +124 / Seattle Mariners -148 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Seattle Mariners will play the New York Mets in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at Citi Field in Queens, New York. New York won the first game in this series by a score of 2-1 on Friday night, but Seattle answered with an 8-7 win on Saturday. Seattle is one of the hottest teams in the MLB right now and they will go for the series win here. 

Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 77-58 this season and they have won six of their last eight games. Seattle has only lost three of their last 17 games and they are currently leading the AL West. The Mariners have scored 5+ runs in five of their last eight games. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.66 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average this year. The Mariners offense has scored 649 runs with a .245 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Julio Rodriguez is batting .287 with 24 home runs and 88 RBI’s for the Mariners. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is George Kirby, who is 10-8 with a 3.28 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 156.1 innings pitched this season. 

Mets Preview

The New York Mets are 62-74 this season and they have lost seven of their last ten games. New York came into this series after losing two out of three to the Rangers, Angels, and Braves. The Mets are currently second to last in the NL East, but are only up a half of game on Washington, who is in last place. The New York pitching staff has a 4.44 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .249 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 591 runs with a .238 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso is batting .220 with 39 home runs and 96 RBI’s for the Mets. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Tylor Megill, who is 7-7 with a 5.29 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP over 97 innings pitched this year. 

New York Mets Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won seven of the last 10 games between the Mariners and Mets.
  • The Mets have covered the run line each of their last six home games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mets' last six home games.

Seattle Mariners Team Facts

  • The Mariners have won 12 of their last 13 games following a road win.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line each of their last six day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mariners' last three games as road favorites against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in two of the Mets' last three games against the Mariners.
  • Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six home appearances against the Mariners after playing the previous day.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances at Citi Field against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Nimmo has scored a run in four of the Mets' last five day games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances at Citi Field against opponents that held a winning record.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • J.P. Crawford has hit a home run in each of the Mariners' last three road games against NL opponents.
  • Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
  • J.P. Crawford has scored at least one run in each of his last eight road appearances.
  • Julio Rodriguez has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six appearances with the Mariners as favorites.
  • George Kirby has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances.
  • J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners' last six games as favorites against NL opponents.
  • George Kirby ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (3.28) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Mets ranks 26th in the league for walks allowed this season (507).
  • The New York Mets ranks 25th in the league for batting average this season (.238).
  • The Seattle Mariners ranks 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (541).
  • The Seattle Mariners ranks 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1344).

Pick

The Mariners have played great baseball over the last couple of months and they have shot up in the AL West standings. Seattle is 38-29 on the road and they are facing a Mets team that has been a huge disappointment. The Mariners are starting George Kirby, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Mets are starting Tylor Megill, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three straight outings. The Mets play their best baseball at home and Megill hasn’t been terrible recently, so I am going to roll with New York in this one. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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