Twins vs Rangers Prediction - MLB Picks 9/1/23

Texas Rangers (75-58) vs Minnesota Twins (69-65)

Game Info: Friday, September 1, 2023 at 8:05 pm (Globe Life Field)

Max Scherzer (12-5) (3.71) vs Joe Ryan (9-8) (4.33)

Betting Odds: Texas Rangers -135 / Minnesota Twins +114 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Minnesota Twins will play the Texas Rangers in Game 1 of their series on Friday night at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. The Rangers continue to struggle with their bullpen, while Minnesota has been able to maintain a decent lead in the AL Central. 

Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 69-65 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Minnesota is coming off of a series loss to Cleveland, where they lost two out of three. The Twins offense had been turning a corner, but they only managed to score two runs in each of their last two games. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average this year. The Twins offense has scored 603 runs with a .239 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Carlos Correa is batting .222 with 16 home runs and 57 RBI’s for the Twins. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Joe Ryan, who is 9-8 with a 4.33 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 131 innings pitched this season.

Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers are 75-58 this season and they have lost 10 of their last 13 games. Texas is coming off of a series win against the Mets, where they won two out of three games. The Rangers pitching staff, especially their bullpen, has been very unreliable over the last couple of weeks. The Texas pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Rangers offense has scored 738 runs with a .268 batting average and a .338 on base percentage this season. Adolis Garcia is batting .248 with 32 home runs and 97 RBI’s for the Rangers. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Max Scherzer, who is 12-5 with a 3.71 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 138.1 innings pitched this year. 

Texas Rangers Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won each of the Rangers' last four games at Globe Life Field.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rangers' last five games.
  • The Rangers have led after 7 innings in each of their last five night games at Globe Life Field against AL Central opponents.
  • The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four home games.

Minnesota Twins Team Facts

  • The Twins have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against AL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Twins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Twins have led after 5 innings in five of their last seven games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Twins' last five games against American League opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Corey Seager has hit a home run in each of the Rangers' last three games against the Twins at Globe Life Field.
  • Mitch Garver has recorded an RBI in each of his last four home appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Marcus Semien has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Rangers' last six games against AL opponents at Globe Life Field.
  • Max Scherzer has recorded nine or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL Central opponents.
  • Marcus Semien has scored at least one run in nine of the Rangers' last 10 games against AL Central opponents at Globe Life Field.
  • Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers' last 12 games.
  • Max Scherzer ranks T9th in the league for Wins (12) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Carlos Correa has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against the Rangers after not playing the previous day.
  • Joey Gallo has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents at Globe Life Field.
  • Max Kepler has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Twins' last 10 night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Joe Ryan has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against AL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Texas Rangers ranks 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.268).
  • The Texas Rangers ranks 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (738).
  • The Minnesota Twins ranks 4th in the league for walks allowed this season (375).
  • The Minnesota Twins are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.

Pick

Texas limps into this series as they have struggled over the last few weeks, while Minnesota has not been good on the road. The Twins are only 29-36 away from Target field, while Texas is 42-24 at home. The Rangers bullpen has blown quite a few games over the last two weeks and their lead in the AL West is gone. Texas is now looking up at Houston and Seattle, as they have dropped to third place in the AL West. Texas is starting Max Scherzer, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. Minnesota is starting Joe Ryan, who has allowed 1, 7, 4, and 4 earned runs in his last three starts. The Rangers have been much better at home than they have been on the road and I like them to get the win here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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