Phillies vs Brewers Prediction - MLB Picks 9/1/23

Milwaukee Brewers (74-59) vs Philadelphia Phillies (74-59)

Game Info: Friday, September 1, 2023 at 8:10 pm (American Family Field)

Freddy Peralta (11-8) (3.95) vs Zack Wheeler (10-6) (3.53)

Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers +115 / Philadelphia Phillies -127 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Philadelphia Phillies will host the Milwaukee Brewers for game one of their weekend series this Friday from Citizens Banks Park. 

Phillies Preview & Projected Starter

Philadelphia moved to 74-59 after taking two of three from LAA. The Phillies were surprisingly outgunned by Angels in game three, and they’ll look to respond here against the Brew Crew. The Philly offense is scoring 4.13 runs per game, while batting .254, with a .322 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.98 ERA, with a 1.25 WHIP. 

Zack Wheeler (10-6, 3.70 ERA, 165 Ks) will take the bump for Philadelphia. The eleventh-year pitcher came through in a bounce back spot against St. Louis last time out, striking out ten thru seven innings of one-run ball to earn his tenth victory. Wheeler churned out another lengthy outing, and he continues to be one of the most consistent pitchers in all of baseball from an innings standpoint. This will mark Wheeler’s first time facing Milwaukee, and he’ll look to come strong for a contest that should have a playoff-like atmosphere. 

Phillies Player Trends & Props 

Nick Castellanos has recorded a hit in eight of the previous ten games, and he’s posting strong splits of .274/22/82.

Bryson Stott has plated a run in three of the last five games, and he’s posting team-leads in batting (.297) and hits (143), with 55 RBI.

Kyle Schwarber has homered in five of the previous eight games, and he’s among league leaders in homers (37), while leading the Phils in RBI (85).

Alex Bohm homered and doubled in the game two victory, and he’s third on the team in RBI (82), while hitting .281.

Bryce Harper’s vendetta against California continued last night after homering for the fifth straight time against a Cali-based squad, and after recording multiple hits in six of the last eight games, he’s posting a line of .309/14/53.

 

Brewers Preview & Projected Starter

Milwaukee moved to 74-59 after dropping two of three to Chicago. The Brewers took a pair of one-run losses at Wrigley, and they’ll look to avoid a third straight defeat here on Friday. The Milwaukee offense is 4.56 scoring runs per game, while batting .231, with a .307 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.95 ERA, with a 1.31 WHIP. 

Freddy Peralta (11-8, 3.95 ERA, 177 Ks) will take the mound for Milwaukee. The sixth-year Brewer pitched well against San Diego last time out, striking out nine thru 5.1 innings pitched, while holding them to two runs to earn his eleventh win. That’s five straight wins for Freddy P, who’s honestly executing at his highest level right now, holding clubs to three runs or less in nine of his last ten starts. Peralta has also been one of the few consistent strikeout pitchers this season, clearing nine Ks in four of his last six bouts, while touching the 13-K mark twice. 

Brewers Player Trends & Props

Christian Yelich has recorded a hit in six of the last eight games,  and he leads the Brewers in hits (140) and RBI (68), with seventeen homers. 

Willy Adames has produced a run in six of the previous ten games, and he leads Milwaukee in home runs (21), with 62 RBI. 

William Contreras brings a ten-game hit streak into this series, and after producing a run in six of the last seven games, he leads the team in batting (.279), with 14 homers and 65 runs batted in. 

Carlos Santana has collected a hit in nine straight games, and he’s tallied eighteen homers and 66 RBI between time in Pittsburgh and Milwaukee this season.

 

Corey’s Free Pick

These two NL playoff hopefuls currently boast the same record, and someone’s going to walk away with win number 75 Friday night. I’d love to buy into the pitcher’s duel here with Zach Wheeler and Freddy P set to go, but this is an appealing magic number for a Phillies game. These are two of the most consistent pitchers in the game, but when you factor in how well the Brew Crew hits at home, along with the stacked bats of the Philly lineup, I like testing the total here. Take the Over for game one of the Philadelphia/Milwaukee series.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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