Marlins vs Nationals Prediction - MLB Picks 9/1/23

Washington Nationals (62-73) vs Miami Marlins (67-67)

Game Info: Friday, September 1, 2023 at 7:05 pm (Nationals Park)

Jake Irvin (3-5) (4.30) vs Eury Perez (5-4) (2.68)

Betting Odds: Washington Nationals +154 / Miami Marlins -185 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Marlins will play the Washington Nationals in Game 2 of their series on Friday night at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Washington dropped Game 1 in this series by a score of 6-1 on Thursday night, but they have played some solid baseball over the last month. 

Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins are 67-67 this season and they have lost five of their last seven games. Prior to winning the first game in this series, Miami lost both games in their mini series with the Rays. The Marlins have had some issues scoring lately, scoring three runs or fewer in nine of their last eleven games. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average this season. The Marlins offense has scored 534 runs with a .258 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Luis Arraez is batting .349 with five home runs and 58 RBI’s for the Marlins. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 5-4 with a 2.68 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 74 innings pitched this year. 

Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals are 62-73 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Prior to their last series with Toronto, Washington had won five series in a row. The Washington pitching staff has a 4.90 ERA, a 1.45 WHIP, and a .268 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 581 runs with a .256 batting average and a .316 on base percentage this year. Lane Thomas is batting .279 with 20 home runs and 69 RBI’s for the Nationals. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Jake Irvin, who is 3-5 with a 4.30 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 102.2 innings pitched this season. 

Washington Nationals Team Facts

  • The Nationals have lost 10 of their last 11 games against the Marlins following a home loss.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against the Marlins following a loss.
  • The Nationals have led after 5 innings in five of their last seven games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Nationals' last three night games against National League opponents.

Miami Marlins Team Facts

  • The Marlins have won each of their last 10 games against the Nationals following a road win.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road favorites.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • Keibert Ruiz has hit a home run in three of his last eight appearances at Nationals Park.
  • CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals' last seven Friday night games at Nationals Park.
  • CJ Abrams has recorded at least one total base in each of the Nationals' last seven Friday games at Nationals Park.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Jazz Chisholm has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Marlins as road favorites.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven road appearances against the Nationals.
  • Josh Bell has recorded three or more total bases in each of his last four appearances at Nationals Park.
  • Luis Arraez has scored at least one run in six of his seven previous road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jorge Soler has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Jorge Soler ranks T6th in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Washington Nationals ranks 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (953).
  • The Washington Nationals ranks 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (1020).
  • The Miami Marlins ranks 27th in the league for runs scored this season (534).
  • The Miami Marlins ranks 27th in the league for home runs this season (129).

Pick

The Marlins come into this game a few games out in the NL Wild Card race and they could really use another win in this matchup. Washington was playing some very good baseball, but they have dropped four of their last five. The Nationals are starting Jake Irvin, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings. The Marlins are starting Eury Perez, who has allowed 0 earned runs in his last two starts (12 IP). Both of these pitchers have been very solid recently and I think we are going to see a lower scoring game here. Take the under. 

David’s Pick Under 9.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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