Mariners vs Mets Prediction - MLB Picks 9/1/23

New York Mets (61-73) vs Seattle Mariners (76-57)

Game Info: Friday, September 1, 2023 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)

Kodai Senga (10-7) (3.17) vs Logan Gilbert (12-5) (3.66)

Betting Odds: New York Mets +102 / Seattle Mariners -122 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MLB.tv Stream the MLB Game of the Day all season on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

The Seattle Mariners will play the New York Mets in Game 1 of their series on Friday night at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The Mets come into this series struggling, while Seattle has been one of the hottest teams in the MLB. 

Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 76-57 this season and they have won 13 of their last 15 games. Seattle is coming off of a series win against the Athletics, where they won two out of three games. The Mariners have scored 5+ runs in eight of their last eleven games. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.64 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average this year. The Mariners offense has scored 640 runs with a .245 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Julio Rodriguez is batting .286 with 24 home runs and 87 RBI’s for the Mariners. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Logan Gilbert, who is 12-5 with a 3.66 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 155 innings pitched this season.

Mets Preview

The New York Mets are 61-73 this season and they have lost six of their last eight games. New York is coming off of a series loss to the Rangers, where they lost two out of three games. The New York pitching staff has a 4.45 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .249 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 582 runs with a .237 batting average and a .317 on base percentage this season. Francisco Lindor is batting .251 with 24 home runs and 79 RBI’s for the Mets. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Kodai Senga, who is 10-7 with a 3.17 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 136.1 innings pitched this year. 

New York Mets Team Facts

  • The Mets have lost each of their last 10 Friday night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 15 games against AL West opponents following a win.
  • The Mets have won the first inning in each of their last three night games against the Mariners.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mets' last four home games.

Seattle Mariners Team Facts

  • The Mariners have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
  • The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mariners' last three games as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The Mariners have lost the first inning in each of their last five Friday games against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Daniel Vogelbach has hit a home run in two of his three previous appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a winning record.
  • Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five home appearances against the Mariners.
  • Daniel Vogelbach has scored a run in four of his last five appearances with the Mets as underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded two or more total bases in five of his last six appearances at Citi Field against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Kodai Senga has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances at Citi Field against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Kodai Senga ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (3.17) this season.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in three of the Mariners' last five games as road favorites.
  • Cal Raleigh has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Teoscar Hernandez has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Mariners' last four games as road favorites.
  • J.P. Crawford has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with the Mariners as road favorites.
  • Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners' last 10 games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • J.P. Crawford ranks 9th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.385) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Mets ranks 26th in the league for hits this season (1047).
  • The New York Mets ranks 25th in the league for batting average this season (.237).
  • The Seattle Mariners ranks 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (327).
  • The Seattle Mariners ranks T1st in the league for runs allowed this season (532).

Pick

The Mariners look to continue their hot play and they are currently tied for first in the AL West with the Houston Astros, while New York is in last place in the NL East. Seattle has played very well over the last few months and they are 37-28 on the road this year. The Mariners are starting Logan Gilbert, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. The Mets are starting Kodai Senga, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight outings. Senga has been one of the lone bright spots for New York this year, but he is going against a very hot Seattle lineup. Take the Mariners to get another win here. 

David’s Pick Mariners ML

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

NBA, MLB, NHL Best Bets for Today Picks & Predictions Thursday 5/23/24 | 7 Picks in 5 Minutes

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss