Rangers vs Mets Prediction - MLB Picks 8/30/23

New York Mets (60-73) vs Texas Rangers (75-57)

Game Info: Wednesday, August 30, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Citi Field)

Kodai Senga (10-7) (3.17) vs Dane Dunning (9-6) (3.36)

Betting Odds: New York Mets -120 / Texas Rangers +100 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Texas Rangers will play the New York Mets in Game 3 of their series on Wednesday night at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Texas has won the first two games in this series by scores of 4-3 and 2-1 and they continue to be right in the middle of the AL West battle with Houston and Seattle. 

Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers are 75-57 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Prior to winning the first two games in this series, Texas lost three out of four games in Minnesota. The Rangers were able to snap their eight game losing streak over the weekend and they have been able to bounce back in this series against a bad Mets team. The Texas pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average this season. The Rangers offense has scored 733 runs with a .268 batting average and a .338 on base percentage. Adolis Garcia is batting .248 with 32 home runs and 95 RBI’s for the Rangers. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Dane Dunning, who is 9-6 with a 3.36 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 136.2 innings pitched this year. 

Mets Preview

The New York Mets are 60-73 this season and they have lost six of their last seven games. New York came into this series after losing two out of three games against the Angels. The Mets offense has scored three runs or fewer in seven straight games. The New York pitching staff has a 4.45 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .250 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 576 runs with a .236 batting average and a .316 on base percentage this year. Francisco Lindor is batting .251 with 24 home runs and 79 RBI’s for the Mets. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Kodai Senga, who is 10-7 with a 3.17 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 136.1 innings pitched this season. 

New York Mets Team Facts

  • The Mets have lost each of their last 12 games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against the Rangers.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mets' last three home games.

Texas Rangers Team Facts

  • The Rangers have won each of their last five games against NL East opponents.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents following a road win.
  • The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Rangers have trailed after 7 innings in four of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rangers' last six games as favorites.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Mets ranks T26th in the league for walks allowed this season (496).
  • The New York Mets ranks 25th in the league for batting average this season (.236).
  • The Texas Rangers ranks 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.268).
  • The Texas Rangers ranks 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (733).

Pick

The Rangers have been able to pick up two huge road wins to start this series and they have kept pace with the Astros and the Mariners. Texas is 18 games above .500, but they are only 33-33 on the road this year. New York is 32-32 at home, but they come into this one really struggling. The Mets are starting Kodai Senga, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. The Rangers are starting Dane Dunning, who has allowed 4, 3, 1, and 3 earned runs in his last four starts. I don’t necessarily love Dunning, but I do like the Rangers at just about even money. Give me Texas here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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