Guardians vs Twins Prediction - MLB Picks 8/30/23

Minnesota Twins (69-64) vs Cleveland Guardians (63-70)

Game Info: Wednesday, August 30, 2023 at 1:10 pm (Target Field)

Sonny Gray (7-6) (3.06) vs Tanner Bibee (10-3) (3.01)

Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins -135 / Cleveland Guardians +114 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Cleveland Guardians will play the Minnesota Twins in Game 3 of their series on Wednesday afternoon at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Minnesota won the first game in this series by a score of 10-6 on Monday, but Cleveland answered with a 4-2 win on Tuesday night. 

Guardians Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 63-70 this season and they have alternated wins and losses in their last six games. Prior to this series, Cleveland won two out of three games in Toronto against the Blue Jays. The Guardians offense has been an issue all season, but they have scored 4+ runs in four of their last five games. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average this season. The Guardians offense has scored 540 runs with a .249 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .278 with 21 home runs and 71 RBI’s for the Guardians. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Tanner Bibee, who is 10-3 with a 3.01 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 119.2 innings pitched this year. 

Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 69-64 this season and they have won four of their last six games. Minnesota came into this series after a very nice series win against Texas, where they won three out of four games. The Twins have scored 7+ runs in five of their last seven contests. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 601 runs with a .240 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this year. Carlos Correa is batting .224 with 16 home runs and 57 RBI’s for the Twins. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Sonny Gray, who is 7-6 with a 3.06 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 150 innings pitched this season.

Minnesota Twins Team Facts

  • The Twins have lost six of their last seven games as favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line each of their last six day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last six games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Twins have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last six day games at Target Field against American League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Twins' last four home games.

Cleveland Guardians Team Facts

  • The Guardians have won each of their last 10 Wednesday games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 games at Target Field.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Guardians' last three games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • The Guardians have lost the first inning in each of their last three day games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Guardians have led after 7 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Michael A. Taylor has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances.
  • Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Twins' last four games against AL opponents.
  • Carlos Correa has scored a run in four of his last five appearances with the Twins as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Sonny Gray has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Michael A. Taylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Twins as favorites.
  • Michael A. Taylor has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances with the Twins as favorites.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in three of the Guardians' last four day games.
  • Will Brennan has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Guardians' last four games against the Twins at Target Field.
  • Kole Calhoun has scored at least one run in each of the Guardians' last three day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded two or more total bases in eight of his last 10 appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in seven of his last eight road appearances.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Minnesota Twins ranks 4th in the league for walks allowed this season (371).
  • The Minnesota Twins are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
  • The Cleveland Guardians ranks T4th in the league for triples this season (25).
  • The Cleveland Guardians ranks 27th in the league for RBI's this season (504).

Pick

Cleveland was able to get a nice win in Game 2 of this series, but they are still quite a few games out of first place in the AL Central. The Guardians really need to win this one if they want to have any chance of catching Minnesota, but that seems unlikely. Cleveland is starting Tanner Bibee, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Minnesota is starting Sonny Gray, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Both pitchers have been very solid recently and I like the under in this game. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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