Nationals vs Blue Jays Prediction - MLB Picks 8/29/23

Toronto Blue Jays Team Facts

• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last four games as home favorites following a win.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as home favorites following a home win.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five Tuesday night games as favorites.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Blue Jays' last three home games.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last six games as home favorites against National League opponents.

Washington Nationals Team Facts

• The Nationals have won seven of their last nine games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Nationals' last three games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three road games against American League opponents.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Tuesday night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays' last five games at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a losing record.
• George Springer has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Blue Jays' last five games against NL East opponents.
• Danny Jansen has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last five appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored a run in each of the Blue Jays' last six home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Berrios has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a losing record.
• George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays' last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Keibert Ruiz has hit a home run in three of his last eight appearances after playing the previous day.
• Joey Meneses has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Nationals' last four games as underdogs.
• CJ Abrams has scored at least one run in each of the Nationals' last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• MacKenzie Gore has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Joey Meneses has recorded two hits in each of the Nationals' last three games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Blue Jays are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
• The Toronto Blue Jays ranks 4th in the league for runs allowed this season (534).
• The Washington Nationals ranks 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (942).
• The Washington Nationals ranks 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (1000).

Pick

The Blue Jays are currently on the outside looking in for an AL Wild Card berth, but they are only a few games out. Washington might have a poor record, but they have been one of the hottest teams in baseball over the last couple of weeks. The Nationals are starting MacKenzie Gore, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. Toronto is starting Jose Berrios, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in two of his last three starts. Toronto has everything to play for right now, but Berrios has had some issues recently. I think we are going to see some runs scored in this game and I am taking the over.