Guardians vs Twins Prediction - MLB Picks 8/29/23

Minnesota Twins (68-63) vs Cleveland Guardians (62-69)

Game Info: Monday, August 29, 2023 at 7:40 pm (Target Field)

Pablo Lopez vs Gavin Williams

Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins -140 / Cleveland Guardians +120 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins face off on Tuesday in an MLB showdown at Target Field. On Monday it was the Twins that were able to secure the 10-6 victory. 

Royce Lewis is a Star

Royce Lewis quickly looks like he’s quickly becoming a star in this league, and he’s putting the rest of the league on notice. The Twins were down big in both Sunday and Monday’s game and it was Lews who came to the rescue hitting a grand slam. Lewis finished the game on Monday with two hits, two runs, four RBIs, and one walk. The Twins are averaging 4.49 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.14 runs per game. The pitching is ranked 7th in baseball. On the mound for the Twins is Pablo Lopez who sits with a 9-6 record and an ERA of 3.96. 

Twins Betting Trends

  • The Twins have won eight of their last nine games at Target Field against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last four games as home favorites.
  • The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Twins' last three home games.
  • The Twins have trailed after 7 innings in eight of their last 11 games as favorites against AL Central opponents.

Guardians Fade More and More

The Guardians now sit seven games back of the Twins in the race for the American League Central, and they really needed a sweep in this series, although that can’t happen now. On Monday they got out to an early lead, but that wasn’t enough as the pitching really let them down after the second inning giving up ten total runs. The Guardians are averaging 4.05 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.12 runs per game. The offense is ranked 26th in baseball. On the mound for the Guardians will be Gavin Williams who sits with a 1-5 record and an ERA of 3.52. 

Guardians Betting Trends

  • The Guardians have won each of their last three games as road underdogs following a loss.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line 12 of their last 13 road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Guardians have led after 7 innings in four of their last six games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against AL Central opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Guardians' last five Tuesday night games against American League opponents.

Twins vs Guardians Facts

  • The Minnesota Twins ranks T3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (368).
  • The Minnesota Twins are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
  • The Cleveland Guardians ranks 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.380).
  • The Cleveland Guardians ranks 4th in the league for triples this season (25).

Shane’s Free Pick

At this point the Guardians mine as well fold, because this season is all but over for them. Lopez wasn’t as sharp in his last start, but he’s going to bounce back here. Lewis is also going to continue his success hitting home runs here, and that is going to be the difference as the Twins are going to get the job done. Back the Twins on the run line. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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