Angels vs Phillies Prediction - MLB Picks 8/29/23

Philadelphia Phillies (73-58) vs Los Angeles Angels (63-69)

Game Info: Tuesday, August 29, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Michael Lorenzen (7-8) (3.69) vs Tyler Anderson (5-5) (5.35)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -148 / Los Angeles Angels +124 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Los Angeles Angels will play the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 2 of their series on Tuesday night at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Phillies won Game 1 in this series by a score of 6-4 on Monday night and they have played great baseball recently. 

Angels Preview

The Los Angeles Angels are 63-69 this season and they have lost six of their last eight games. Prior to losing the first game in this series, Los Angeles won two out of three games against the Mets on the road. The Angels have had a very frustrating season and they are only 31-36 on the road this year. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.60 ERA, a 1.40 WHIP, and a .250 opponent batting average this year. The Angels offense has scored 621 runs with a .249 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Shohei Ohtani is batting .304 with 44 home runs and 92 RBI’s for the Angels. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Tyler Anderson, who is 5-5 with a 5.35 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 117.2 innings pitched this season.

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 73-58 this season and they have won six of their last seven games. Philadelphia came into this series after winning all three of their games against the Cardinals over the weekend. The Phillies don’t have a shot of chasing down the Braves in the NL East, but they are currently in the first NL Wild Card spot. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 630 runs with a .259 batting average and a .328 on base percentage this season. Nick Castellanos is batting .275 with 22 home runs and 82 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Michael Lorenzen, who is 7-8 with a 3.69 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 131.2 innings pitched this year. 

Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts

  • The favorites have won each of the last 10 games between the Angels and Phillies.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last six games at Citizens Bank Park against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Phillies have led after 7 innings in each of their last six games at Citizens Bank Park against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last four night games between the Angels and Phillies.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last nine games as favorites against AL West opponents.

Los Angeles Angels Team Facts

  • The Angels have lost each of their last six games against National League opponents following a road loss.
  • The road team has covered the run line in seven of the Angels' last eight games.
  • The Angels have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Angels have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Bryce Harper has hit at least one home run in three of the Phillies' last four home games against the Angels.
  • Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Phillies' last seven home games.
  • Michael Lorenzen has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Bryce Harper has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last four appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
  • Bryce Harper has scored at least one run in seven of the Phillies' last eight night games.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies' last 17 games at Citizens Bank Park.
  • Bryce Harper ranks 7th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.400) this season.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

  • Brandon Drury has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Drury has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances in night games.
  • Brandon Drury has scored at least one run in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Drury has recorded two or more total bases in five of his last six appearances in night games.
  • Luis Rengifo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Angels' last six games.
  • Shohei Ohtani ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.662) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 5th in the league for triples this season (24).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 5th in the league for batting average this season (.259).
  • The Los Angeles Angels ranks 27th in the league for steals this season (63).
  • The Los Angeles Angels ranks 25th in the league for doubles this season (207).

Pick

The Phillies have been playing some very good baseball over the last few weeks and they are looking poised to make a playoff run, while the Angels are looking towards the off-season and what is going to happen with Ohtani. Los Angeles is starting Tyler Anderson, who has allowed 13 earned runs in his last 13.1 innings of work. The Phillies are starting Michael Lorenzen, who has allowed 10 earned runs in his last two starts (9 IP). Neither pitcher has been very solid in their last few starts, but Lorenzen has been good for most of the season. I like the Phillies here. 

David’s Pick Phillies ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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